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Air Lease (Air Lease) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $-182.84 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-24), Air Lease's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-182.84. The stock price of Air Lease is $51.01. Therefore, Air Lease's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Air Lease's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

AL's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Business Services industry.
Industry Median: 0.935
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Air Lease Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Air Lease's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Air Lease Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -251.12 -231.54 -179.79 -167.04 -182.84

Air Lease Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -167.04 -174.34 -178.45 -172.44 -182.84

Competitive Comparison

For the Rental & Leasing Services subindustry, Air Lease's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Air Lease Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Air Lease's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Air Lease's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Air Lease Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Air Lease's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-2,409.97.

Air Lease's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(10.844211261935*-2409.96992+7160.038*0.8)/111.605
=-182.84

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Air Lease  (NYSE:AL) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Air Lease's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=51.01/-182.84299581012
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Air Lease Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Air Lease's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Air Lease (Air Lease) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2000 Avenue of the Stars, Suite 1000N, Los Angeles, CA, USA, 90067
Air Lease Corp is an aircraft leasing company based in the United States. However, it derives its revenue from the Asia region. Its business involves purchasing aircraft from renowned manufacturers such as The Boeing Company (Boeing) and Airbus S.A.S and leasing them to airline companies across the world. Its suite of aircraft entails single-aisle narrow-bodied jets and twin-aisle wide-bodied aircraft. The company's primary source of revenue originates from the leasing of aircraft and to a certain extent from the provision of fleet management services to investors and owners of aircraft portfolios.
Executives
Alex A Khatibi officer: EVP C/O AIR LEASE CORPORATION, 2000 AVENUE OF THE STARS, SUITE 1000N, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Yvette Hollingsworth Clark director C/O 2000 AVENUE OF THE STARS, SUITE 1000N, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Gregory B Willis officer: SVP FINANCE AND CFO C/O AIR LEASE CORPORATION, 2000 AVENUE OF THE STARS, SUITE 600N, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Grant A Levy officer: EVP, GENL. COUNSEL & SECRETARY C/O AIR LEASE CORPORATION, 2000 AVENUE OF THE STARS, SUITE 1000N, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Steven F Udvar-hazy director, officer: Chairman and CEO C/O AIR LEASE CORPORATION, 2000 AVENUE OF THE STARS, SUITE 1000N, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Kishore Korde officer: EVP, Marketing 2000 AVENUE OF THE STARS, SUITE 1000N, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Jie Chen officer: EVP & MANAGING DIRECTOR, ASIA C/O AIR LEASE CORPORATION, 2000 AVENUE OF THE STARS, SUITE 1000N, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
John L Plueger director, officer: PRESIDENT AND COO C/O AIR LEASE CORPORATION, 2000 AVENUE OF THE STARS, SUITE 1000N, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Marshall O Larsen director 870 WINTER STREET, WALTHAM MA 02451
Cheryl Gordon Krongard director LEGG MASON, INC., 100 INTERNATIONAL DRIVE, BALTIMORE MD 21202
Susan Mccaw director LIONSGATE, 2700 COLORADO AVENUE, SANTA MONICA CA 90404
Marc H Baer other: EVP C/O AIR LEASE CORPORATION, 2000 AVENUE OF THE STARS, SUITE 1000N, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Carol Hyland Forsyte officer: EVP, GC, Corp Secretary & CCO C/O AIR LEASE CORPORATION, 2000 AVENUE OF THE STARS, SUITE 1000N, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
John D Poerschke officer: SVP C/O AIR LEASE CORPORATION, 2000 AVENUE OF THE STARS, SUITE 1000N, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Ian M Saines director C/O AIR LEASE CORPORATION, 2000 AVENUE OF THE STARS, SUITE 1000N, LOS ANGELES CA 90067