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Abercrombie & Fitch Co (NYSE:ANF)
Intrinsic Value (DCF Projected)
$37.59 (As of Today)

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value (DCF), or Discounted Earnings (DCE) Intrinsic Value (DE) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Discounted Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today, Abercrombie & Fitch Co's DCF projected intrinsic value is $37.59. The stock price of Abercrombie & Fitch Co is $37.08. Therefore, Abercrombie & Fitch Co's Price to Intrinsic Value (DCF Projected) Ratio of today is 1.0.

ANF' s 10-Year Price to Intrinsic Value (DCF Projected) Range
Min: 0.33   Max: 2.43
Current: 1

0.33
2.43

During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Intrinsic Value (DCF Projected) Ratio of Abercrombie & Fitch Co was 2.43. The lowest was 0.33. And the median was 1.31.

ANF's Price to Intrinsic Value (DCF Projected) is ranked higher than
72% of the 551 Companies
in the Global Apparel Stores industry.

( Industry Median: 1.20 vs. ANF: 1.00 )

Definition

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value (DCF), or Discounted Earnings (DCE) Intrinsic Value (DE) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Discounted Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of total equity.

Value = ((Growth Multiple)*Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) + 0.8*Total Equity(most recent))/Shares Outstanding

In the case of negative total equity, the following formula is used (see the Total Equity section for the reason):

Value = ((Growth Multiple)*Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) + Total Equity(most recent)/0.8)/Shares Outstanding


Here Abercrombie & Fitch Co's FCF(6 year avg) is calculate as

Abercrombie & Fitch Co Quarterly Data

201110201201201204201207201210201301201304201307201310201401
total_freecashflow -30214-148-76166403-186-104-64366
200904200907200910201001201004201007201010201101201104201107
total_freecashflow -46-1486194-55-4334295-62-76
200804200807200810200901
total_freecashflow -108-2010241

Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Abercrombie & Fitch Co's FCF(6 year avg) = $162.77.

Abercrombie & Fitch Co's DCF Projected Intrinsic Value for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow(6 year avg)+Total Equity(Jan14)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding
=(10.5510033993*162.767+1729.493*0.8)/82.503
=37.59

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.


Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy medium after taking the above ideas into consideration. Learn more here.

Abercrombie & Fitch Co's Price to DCF Projected Intrinsic Value Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to DCF Projected Intrinsic Value=Share Price/DCF Projected Intrinsic Value
=37.08/37.5859007586
=0.99

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.


Related Terms

Intrinsic Value (DE), Intrinsic Value (DCF), Free Cash Flow


Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

Abercrombie & Fitch Co Annual Data

Jan05Jan06Jan07Jan08Jan09Jan10Jan11Jan12Jan13Jan14
iv_dcf_share 27.5432.8941.4553.0354.1547.8040.7739.6045.2337.59

Abercrombie & Fitch Co Quarterly Data

Oct11Jan12Apr12Jul12Oct12Jan13Apr13Jul13Oct13Jan14
iv_dcf_share 38.3039.6036.5937.0238.9745.2344.6139.7736.4937.59
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