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American Public Education (American Public Education) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $32.53 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-23), American Public Education's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $32.53. The stock price of American Public Education is $13.05. Therefore, American Public Education's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for American Public Education's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

APEI' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.3   Med: 0.74   Max: 1
Current: 0.4

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of American Public Education was 1.00. The lowest was 0.30. And the median was 0.74.

APEI's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
77.03% of 148 companies
in the Education industry
Industry Median: 0.77 vs APEI: 0.40

American Public Education Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for American Public Education's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

American Public Education Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 35.16 37.66 32.98 30.56 32.53

American Public Education Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 30.56 30.86 31.93 33.69 32.53

Competitive Comparison

For the Education & Training Services subindustry, American Public Education's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


American Public Education Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Education industry and Consumer Defensive sector, American Public Education's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where American Public Education's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



American Public Education Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get American Public Education's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $26.89.

American Public Education's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(12.95911409947*26.88976+291.976*0.8)/17.890
=32.53

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


American Public Education  (NAS:APEI) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

American Public Education's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=13.05/32.534838901474
=0.40

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


American Public Education Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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American Public Education (American Public Education) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
111 West Congress Street, Charles Town, WV, USA, 25414
American Public Education Inc provides online and on-campus postsecondary education including various undergraduate and graduate degree programs. The fields of study include business administration, health science, technology, criminal justice, education, liberal arts, national security, military studies, intelligence, and homeland security. There are three reporting segments: the American Public Education segment which is the key revenue generator; the Rasmussen University Segment and the Hondros College of Nursing segment. The revenue is generated from net course registrations and enrollment, tuition rate, net tuition, and other fees.
Executives
Barbara Kurshan director C/O AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION, 111 W. CONGRESS STREET, CHARLES TOWN WV 25414
Craig S Macgibbon officer: EVP, Chief Information Officer C/O UIL HOLDINGS CORPORATION, 157 CHURCH STREET, NEW HAVEN CT 06506
Thomas Beckett officer: SVP, General Counsel 111 W. CONGRESS STREET, CHARLES TOWN WV 25414
Paula R Singer officer: Acting President, Rasmussen C/O AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION, INC., 111 WEST CONGRESS STREET, CHARLES TOWN WV 25414
325 Master Fund Lp other: See Footnotes 757 THIRD AVENUE, 20TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Daniel M. Friedberg other: See Footnotes C/O SAGARD CAPITAL, 325 GREENWICH AVENUE, GREENWICH CT 06830
325 Capital Llc other: See Footnotes 757 THIRD AVENUE, 20TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Michael David Braner director, other: See Footnotes 200 PARK AVENUE, 17TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10016
Anil K Shrivastava other: See Footnotes 200 PARK AVENUE, 17TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10016
325 Capital Gp, Llc other: See Footnotes 757 THIRD AVENUE, 20TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Robinson William G Jr director 3150 SABRE DRIVE, SOUTHLAKE TX 76092
Granetta B. Blevins director C/O AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION, INC., 111 WEST CONGRESS STREET, CHARLES TOWN WV 25414
Harry T Wilkins officer: EVP, Strategy, Growth & Innov. 111 W. CONGRESS STREET, CHARLES TOWN WV 25414
Anna M. Fabrega director C/O AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION, INC., 111 WEST CONGRESS STREET, CHARLES TOWN WV 25414
Eric C. Andersen director C/O AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION, INC., 111 W. CONGRESS STREET, CHARLES TOWN WV 25414