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The Brink's Co (The Brink's Co) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $76.58 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-23), The Brink's Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $76.58. The stock price of The Brink's Co is $89.37. Therefore, The Brink's Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.2.

The historical rank and industry rank for The Brink's Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

BCO' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.93   Med: 2.05   Max: 4.61
Current: 1.17

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of The Brink's Co was 4.61. The lowest was 0.93. And the median was 2.05.

BCO's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
59.4% of 665 companies
in the Business Services industry
Industry Median: 0.95 vs BCO: 1.17

The Brink's Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for The Brink's Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

The Brink's Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 25.48 29.33 40.04 57.83 76.58

The Brink's Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 57.83 52.64 57.51 60.82 76.58

Competitive Comparison

For the Security & Protection Services subindustry, The Brink's Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Brink's Co Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, The Brink's Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Brink's Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



The Brink's Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get The Brink's Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $291.42.

The Brink's Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(10.918777632373*291.424+397.4*0.8)/45.700
=76.58

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


The Brink's Co  (NYSE:BCO) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

The Brink's Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=89.37/76.584548199926
=1.17

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


The Brink's Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of The Brink's Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


The Brink's Co (The Brink's Co) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1801 Bayberry Court, P.O. Box 18100, Richmond, VA, USA, 23226-8100
The Brink's Co is a Global provider of secure logistics and security solutions for cash and other valuables. In 2020, the company acquired the U.K.-based G4S that reorganized its operating segments to be North America, Latin America, Europe, and Rest of World. It generates maximum revenue from the North America segment, namely from its core business of cash-in-transit and ATM services. The Latin America and Europe segments trail North America in revenue earnings with the Brinks Global Services line of business that specializes in the secure transportation of high-valued commodities, such as jewelry, precious metals, banknotes, and electronics. Brink's customer base includes financial institutions, retails, government agencies, mints, and other commercial businesses.
Executives
Arthelbert Louis Parker director THE BRINK'S COMPANY, 1801 BAYBERRY CT, 4TH FL, PO BOX 18100, RICHMOND VA 23226
Dominik Bossart officer: SVP 1800 BAYBERRY COURT, PO BOX 18100, RICHMOND VA 23226
Elizabeth A Galloway officer: EVP and CHRO AT HOME GROUP INC., 1600 EAST PLANO PARKWAY, PLANO TX 75074
Michael F Beech officer: Executive Vice President THE BRINK'S COMPANY, 1801 BAYBERRY COURT, 4TH FLOOR, RICHMOND VA 23226
Michael J Herling director 177 BROAD STREET, 15TH FLOOR, STAMFORD CT 06901
Keith R Wyche director 1801 BAYBERRY COURT, PO BOX 18100, RICHMOND VA 23226
Kurt B Mcmaken officer: EVP, Chief Financial Officer THE BRINK'S COMANY, 1801 BAYBERRY COURT, PO BOX 18100, RICHMOND VA 23226
Simon Davis officer: SVP, CHRO 5757 N GREEN BAY AVE, MILWAUKEE WI 53209
Daniel J Castillo officer: EVP 2645 SILVER CRESCENT DRIVE, CHARLOTTE NC 28273
Susan E Docherty director THE BRINK'S COMPANY, 1801 BAYBERRY COURT, 4TH FLOOR, RICHMOND VA 23226
Kathie J. Andrade director 6300 LAMAR AVENUE, OVERLAND PARK KS 66202
Rohan Pal officer: EVP, Chief Information Officer 1801 BAYBERRY COURT, RICHMOND VA 23226
Michael E Sweeney officer: Controller C/O LIQUIDITY SERVICES, INC., 1920 L STREET, N.W., 6TH FLOOR, WASHINGTON DC 20036
Timothy Joseph Tynan director 1801 BAYBERRY COURT, PO BOX 18100, RICHMOND VA 23226
Lindsay K. Blackwood officer: EVP & General Counsel 1801 BAYBERRY COURT, PO BOX 18100, RICHMOND VA 23226

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