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Beacon Roofing Supply (Beacon Roofing Supply) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $81.11 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-20), Beacon Roofing Supply's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $81.11. The stock price of Beacon Roofing Supply is $94.57. Therefore, Beacon Roofing Supply's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.2.

The historical rank and industry rank for Beacon Roofing Supply's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

BECN' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.45   Med: 1.07   Max: 1.39
Current: 1.16

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Beacon Roofing Supply was 1.39. The lowest was 0.45. And the median was 1.07.

BECN's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
63.64% of 121 companies
in the Industrial Distribution industry
Industry Median: 0.83 vs BECN: 1.16

Beacon Roofing Supply Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Beacon Roofing Supply's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Beacon Roofing Supply Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 61.91 69.73 37.25 70.30 81.11

Beacon Roofing Supply Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 70.30 70.41 76.78 79.46 81.11

Competitive Comparison

For the Industrial Distribution subindustry, Beacon Roofing Supply's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Beacon Roofing Supply Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Industrial Distribution industry and Industrials sector, Beacon Roofing Supply's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Beacon Roofing Supply's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Beacon Roofing Supply Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Beacon Roofing Supply's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $334.98.

Beacon Roofing Supply's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(11.069452086404*334.976+1823.5*0.8)/63.700
=81.11

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Beacon Roofing Supply  (NAS:BECN) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Beacon Roofing Supply's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=94.57/81.111472246391
=1.17

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Beacon Roofing Supply Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Beacon Roofing Supply (Beacon Roofing Supply) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
505 Huntmar Park Drive, Suite 300, Herndon, VA, USA, 20170
Beacon Roofing Supply Inc manufactures and sells roofing and building materials throughout the United States and Canada. Beacon's key customers consist of contractors, home builders, lumberyards, retailers, wholesale distributors, and building materials suppliers. The company's product portfolio includes both residential and non-residential roofing materials, siding, windows, and waterproofing systems. The majority of revenue is generated from residential and non-residential roofing products. The vast majority of Beacon's revenue comes from the United States.
Executives
Jason L Taylor officer: President, West Division 505 HUNTMAR PARK DR, SUITE 300, HERNDON VA 20170
James J Gosa officer: President, North/Canada Div. 505 HUNTMAR PARK DR, SUITE 300, HERNDON VA 20170
Cd&r Investment Associates Ix, Ltd. 10 percent owner MAPLES CORPORATE SERVICES LIMITED, UGLAND HOUSE, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY101194
Best Clement Munroe Iii officer: President, South Division 505 HUNTMAR PARK DR, SUITE 300, HERNDON VA 20170
Julian Francis director, officer: President & CEO ONE OWENS CORNING PARKWAY, TOLEDO OH 43659
Christopher Carl Nelson officer: EVP, CIO 505 HUNTMAR PARK DR, SUITE 300, HERNDON VA 20170
Robert M Mclaughlin director C/O AIRGAS, INC., 259 NORTH RADNOR-CHESTER RD, RADNOR PA 19087
Martin S. Harrell officer: President, Waterproofing 3401 PHILIPS HWY, JACKSONVILLE FL 32207
Christine Stroh Reddy officer: EVP, General Counsel 505 HUNTMAR PARK DRIVE, SUITE 300, HERNDON VA 20170
Stuart A Randle director 585 WEST 500 SOUTH, BOUNTIFUL UT 84010
Racquel Harris Mason director C/O ELANCO ANIMAL HEALTH INCORPORATED, 2500 INNOVATION WAY, GREENFIELD IN 46140
Hart Melanie Housey director POOL CORPORATION, 109 NORTHPARK BLVD, COVINGTON LA 70433
Frank A Lonegro officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer 500 WATER STREET, JACKSONVILLE FL 32202
Jonathan Stuart Bennett officer: EVP & CCO 505 HUNTMAR PARK DR, SUITE 300, HERNDON VA 20170
Sean M. Mcdevitt officer: EVP & CHRO 505 HUNTMAR PARK DR, SUITE 300, HERNDON VA 20170