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Energy Company of Minas Gerais (NYSE:CIG)
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
$8.73 (As of Today)

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today, Energy Company of Minas Gerais's projected FCF intrinsic value is $8.73. The stock price of Energy Company of Minas Gerais is $2.75. Therefore, Energy Company of Minas Gerais's Price to Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Ratio of today is 0.3.

CIG' s 10-Year Price to Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Range
Min: 0.81   Max: 2.7
Current: 0.32

0.81
2.7

During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Ratio of Energy Company of Minas Gerais was 2.70. The lowest was 0.81. And the median was 1.38.

CIG's Price to Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ranked higher than
76% of the 288 Companies
in the Global Utilities - Diversified industry.

( Industry Median: 1.60 vs. CIG: 0.32 )

Definition

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of total equity.

Value = ((Growth Multiple)*Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) + 0.8*Total Equity(most recent))/Shares Outstanding

In the case of negative total equity, the following formula is used (see the Total Equity section for the reason):

Value = ((Growth Multiple)*Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) + Total Equity(most recent)/0.8)/Shares Outstanding


Here Energy Company of Minas Gerais's FCF(6 year avg) is calculate as

Energy Company of Minas Gerais Quarterly Data

201206201209201212201303201306201309201312201403201406201412
total_freecashflow -19837730779-3611,1812102334351,065
200912201003201006201009201012201103201106201109201112201203
total_freecashflow -311-11-144887-303203242345-110256
200812200903200906200909
total_freecashflow 350-178284

Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Energy Company of Minas Gerais's FCF(6 year avg) = $754.08.

Energy Company of Minas Gerais's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow(6 year avg)+Total Equity(Dec14)/0.8)/Shares Outstanding
=(9.52035159596*754.078679295+0/0.8)/1645.423
=4.36

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.


Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy medium after taking the above ideas into consideration. Learn more here.

Energy Company of Minas Gerais's Price to Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=2.75/4.36306904541
=0.63

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.


Related Terms

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based), Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), Free Cash Flow


Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

Energy Company of Minas Gerais Annual Data

Dec05Dec06Dec07Dec08Dec09Dec10Dec11Dec12Dec13Dec14
Projected FCF 0.000.0019.3821.087.247.938.406.526.370.00

Energy Company of Minas Gerais Quarterly Data

Jun12Sep12Dec12Mar13Jun13Sep13Dec13Mar14Jun14Dec14
Projected FCF 9.7110.136.525.369.0510.836.378.608.730.00
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