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Cleveland-Cliffs (Cleveland-Cliffs) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $33.93 (As of Apr. 24, 2024)


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What is Cleveland-Cliffs Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-24), Cleveland-Cliffs's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $33.93. The stock price of Cleveland-Cliffs is $18.32. Therefore, Cleveland-Cliffs's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for Cleveland-Cliffs's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

CLF' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.23   Med: 1.35   Max: 14.14
Current: 0.54

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Cleveland-Cliffs was 14.14. The lowest was 0.23. And the median was 1.35.

CLF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
63.73% of 477 companies
in the Steel industry
Industry Median: 0.73 vs CLF: 0.54

Cleveland-Cliffs Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Cleveland-Cliffs's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Cleveland-Cliffs Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Cleveland-Cliffs Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.01 3.45 16.72 27.03 33.93

Cleveland-Cliffs Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 27.03 24.80 28.99 32.11 33.93

Competitive Comparison of Cleveland-Cliffs's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Steel subindustry, Cleveland-Cliffs's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cleveland-Cliffs's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, Cleveland-Cliffs's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cleveland-Cliffs's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Cleveland-Cliffs Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Cleveland-Cliffs's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $728.26.

Cleveland-Cliffs's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*728.256+7887*0.8)/505.000
=33.93

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Cleveland-Cliffs  (NYSE:CLF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Cleveland-Cliffs's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=18.32/33.927557325295
=0.54

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Cleveland-Cliffs Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Cleveland-Cliffs's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Cleveland-Cliffs (Cleveland-Cliffs) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
200 Public Square, Suite 3300, Cleveland, OH, USA, 44114-2315
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc is a flat-rolled steel producer and manufacturer of iron ore pellets in North America. It has one reportable segment -Steelmaking. It is vertically integrated from mined raw materials, direct reduced iron, and ferrous scrap to primary steelmaking and downstream finishing, stamping, tooling and tubing. It serves a diverse range of other markets due to its comprehensive offering of flat-rolled steel products. Geographically, it operates in the United States, Canada and other countries. The majority of revenue is from the United States. It is a supplier of steel to the automotive industry in North America.
Executives
Michael Ralph S Iii director
Goncalves Celso L Jr officer: EVP, CFO 200 PUBLIC SQUARE, SUITE 3300, CLEVELAND OH 44114
Arlene M Yocum director 99 PINE STREET, ALBANY NY 12207
Lourenco Goncalves director, officer: Chairman, President & CEO
Keith Koci officer: EVP, Chief Financial Officer ONE RIVERWAY, SUITE 1100, HOUSTON TX 77056
Douglas C Taylor director 200 PUBLIC SQUARE, SUITE 3300, CLEVELAND OH 44114
Susan Miranda Green director 11211 LANDY COURT, KENSINGTON MD 20895
Janet L Miller director 200 PUBLIC SQUARE, SUITE 3300, CLEVELAND OH 44114
Fisher Robert P Jr director 200 PUBLIC SQUARE, SUITE 3300, CLEVELAND OH 44067
John T Baldwin director 200 PUBLIC SQUARE, SUITE 3300, CLEVELAND OH 44114
Arcelormittal North America Holdings Llc other: Former 10% Owner 1 SOUTH DEARBORN STREET, 13TH FLOOR, CHICAGO IL 60603
Rcelormittal other: Former 10% Owner 24-26, BOULEVARD D?AVRANCHES, L-1160 LUXEMBOURG, GRAND DUCHY OF LUXEMBOURG N4 00000
Kimberly A Floriani officer: VP, Corp Controller & CAO 200 PUBLIC SQUARE, SUITE 3300, CLEVELAND OH 44114
M Ann Harlan director
William K Gerber director 999 WEST BIG BEAVER ROAD, TROY MI 48084