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Cross Timbers Royalty Trust (Cross Timbers Royalty Trust) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $2.28 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is Cross Timbers Royalty Trust Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-25), Cross Timbers Royalty Trust's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $2.28. The stock price of Cross Timbers Royalty Trust is $14.48. Therefore, Cross Timbers Royalty Trust's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 6.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for Cross Timbers Royalty Trust's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

CRT' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.43   Med: 3.12   Max: 8.26
Current: 6.35

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Cross Timbers Royalty Trust was 8.26. The lowest was 1.43. And the median was 3.12.

CRT's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
94.4% of 679 companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 0.84 vs CRT: 6.35

Cross Timbers Royalty Trust Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Cross Timbers Royalty Trust's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Cross Timbers Royalty Trust Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Cross Timbers Royalty Trust Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.84 5.76 4.15 3.08 2.28

Cross Timbers Royalty Trust Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.08 2.97 2.71 2.77 2.28

Competitive Comparison of Cross Timbers Royalty Trust's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Cross Timbers Royalty Trust's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cross Timbers Royalty Trust's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Cross Timbers Royalty Trust's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cross Timbers Royalty Trust's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Cross Timbers Royalty Trust Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Cross Timbers Royalty Trust's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $0.82.

Cross Timbers Royalty Trust's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.069800320413*0.82048+2.672*0.8)/6.000
=2.28

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Cross Timbers Royalty Trust  (NYSE:CRT) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Cross Timbers Royalty Trust's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=14.48/2.2802649611488
=6.35

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Cross Timbers Royalty Trust Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Cross Timbers Royalty Trust (Cross Timbers Royalty Trust) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
C/o Corporate Argent Trust Company, 2911 Turtle Creek Boulevard, Suite 850, Dallas, TX, USA, 75219
Cross Timbers Royalty Trust is a United States based trust. Its principal asset is the net profits interests. The net profits interests are derived from producing royalty, overriding royalty interests, and working interests properties. The underlying properties of the trust include producing properties in Texas, Oklahoma, and New Mexico.
Executives
Gary D. Simpson officer: Sr VP Investor Rel & Finance, other: Advisory Dir - XTO Energy Inc. 810 HOUSTON STREET, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Timothy L Petrus other: Exec VP - XTO Energy Inc. 810 HOUSTON STREET, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Phillip R Kevil other: Director-XTO Energy Inc. C/O MORNINGSTAR PARTNERS, L.P., 400 WEST 7TH STREET, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Vennerberg Vaughn O Ii other: Exec. VP - Admin., XTO Energy
Bob R Simpson other: Dir/CEO/Chair, XTO Energy C/O MORNINGSTAR PARTNERS, L.P., 400 WEST 7TH STREET, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Bennie G Kniffen other: Sr. VP-Controller, XTO Energy
Steffen E Palko Dir, Pres. and Vice Chairman, other: Dir/Pres/Vice Chair-XTO Energy
Louis G Baldwin other: Executive VP-CFO, XTO Energy
Keith A Hutton other: Exec. VP-Operation, XTO Energy C/O MORNINGSTAR PARTNERS, L.P., 400 WEST 7TH STREET, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Lane G Collins other: Director, XTO Energy
Jack P Randall other: Director, XTO Energy Inc.
Adams William H Iii other: Director, XTO Energy Inc. C/O MORNINGSTAR PARTNERS, L.P., 400 WEST 7TH STREET, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Scott G Sherman other: Director XTO Energy Inc.
Herbert D Simons other: Director, XTO Energy Inc.

Cross Timbers Royalty Trust (Cross Timbers Royalty Trust) Headlines