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Discover Financial Services (Discover Financial Services) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $419.98 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is Discover Financial Services Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-25), Discover Financial Services's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $419.98. The stock price of Discover Financial Services is $129.02. Therefore, Discover Financial Services's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Discover Financial Services's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

DFS' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.27   Med: 0.39   Max: 0.68
Current: 0.31

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Discover Financial Services was 0.68. The lowest was 0.27. And the median was 0.39.

DFS's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
79.32% of 295 companies
in the Credit Services industry
Industry Median: 0.84 vs DFS: 0.31

Discover Financial Services Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Discover Financial Services's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Discover Financial Services Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Discover Financial Services Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 247.52 245.18 284.05 332.37 419.98

Discover Financial Services Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 359.20 383.86 407.26 419.98 -

Competitive Comparison of Discover Financial Services's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Credit Services subindustry, Discover Financial Services's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Discover Financial Services's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Credit Services Industry

For the Credit Services industry and Financial Services sector, Discover Financial Services's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Discover Financial Services's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Discover Financial Services Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Discover Financial Services's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $6,043.68.

Discover Financial Services's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*6043.68+14720*0.8)/250.000
=406.40

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Discover Financial Services  (NYSE:DFS) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Discover Financial Services's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=129.02/406.40448223783
=0.32

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Discover Financial Services Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Discover Financial Services's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Discover Financial Services (Discover Financial Services) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2500 Lake Cook Road, Riverwoods, IL, USA, 60015
Discover Financial Services is a bank operating in two distinct segments: direct banking and payment services. The company issues credit and debit cards and provides other consumer banking products including deposit accounts, students loans, and other personal loans. It also operates the Discover, Pulse, and Diners Club networks. The Discover network is the fourth-largest payment network in the United States as ranked by overall purchase volume, and Pulse is one of the largest ATM networks in the country.
Executives
Kathy Lonowski director 2500 LAKE COOK ROAD, RIVERWOODS IL 60015
Michael Shepherd director 567 HALE STREET, PALO ALTO CA 94301
Jason Strle officer: EVP, Chief Information Officer 2500 LAKE COOK ROAD, RIVERWOODS IL 60015
Jason P. Hanson officer: EVP, Pres. - Payment Services 2500 LAKE COOK ROAD, RIVERWOODS IL 60015
Daniela O'leary-gill director 2500 LAKE COOK ROAD, RIVERWOODS IL 60015
Beverley A Sibblies director 2700 SANDERS ROAD, PROSPECT HEIGHTS IL 60070
Robert Andrew Eichfeld officer: EVP - Chief HR & Admin Officer 2500 LAKE COOK ROAD, RIVERWOODS IL 60015
Carlos Minetti officer: EVP, Pres. - Consumer Banking 2500 LAKE COOK ROAD, RIVERWOODS IL 60015
Hope Mehlman officer: EVP, Chief Legal Officer & GC 2500 LAKE COOK ROAD, RIVERWOODS IL 60015
Michael H Moskow director 444 WEST LAKE STREET, STE. 4700, CHICAGO IL 60606
John B Owen director REGIONS FINANCIAL CORPORATION, 1900 5TH AVENUE NORTH, 21ST FLOOR, BIRMINGHAM AL 35203
John Greene officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer 51 LIME STREET, LONDON X0 EC3M 7DQ
Shifra Kolsky officer: SVP, Controller and CAO 2500 LAKE COOK ROAD, RIVERWOODS IL 60015
Michael E Roemer officer: EVP, Chief Risk Officer AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL GROUP, INC., 70 PINE STREET, NEW YORK NY 10270
Daniel Peter Capozzi officer: EVP, Pres - Cr Ops & Dec Mgmt 2500 LAKE COOK ROAD, RIVERWOODS IL 60015