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Keurig Dr Pepper (Keurig Dr Pepper) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $27.57 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is Keurig Dr Pepper Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-25), Keurig Dr Pepper's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $27.57. The stock price of Keurig Dr Pepper is $32.34. Therefore, Keurig Dr Pepper's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.2.

The historical rank and industry rank for Keurig Dr Pepper's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

KDP' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.15   Med: 1.43   Max: 2.01
Current: 1.17

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Keurig Dr Pepper was 2.01. The lowest was 1.15. And the median was 1.43.

KDP's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
50.72% of 69 companies
in the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry
Industry Median: 1.18 vs KDP: 1.17

Keurig Dr Pepper Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Keurig Dr Pepper's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Keurig Dr Pepper Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Keurig Dr Pepper Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 20.63 22.06 24.31 26.24 27.57

Keurig Dr Pepper Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 26.24 26.15 26.62 26.92 27.57

Competitive Comparison of Keurig Dr Pepper's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic subindustry, Keurig Dr Pepper's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Keurig Dr Pepper's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Keurig Dr Pepper's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Keurig Dr Pepper's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Keurig Dr Pepper Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Keurig Dr Pepper's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $1,823.04.

Keurig Dr Pepper's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.919945764728*1823.04+25676*0.8)/1401.200
=27.57

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Keurig Dr Pepper  (NAS:KDP) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Keurig Dr Pepper's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=32.34/27.565842083164
=1.17

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Keurig Dr Pepper Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Keurig Dr Pepper's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Keurig Dr Pepper (Keurig Dr Pepper) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
53 South Avenue, Burlington, MA, USA, 01803
Keurig Dr Pepper was established in 2018 following a merger between Keurig Green Mountain Coffee and Dr Pepper Snapple. The company manufactures and distributes coffee systems (including coffee brewers and single-serve coffee pods) under the Keurig and Green Mountain brands, as well as ready-to-drink beverages including flavored (non-cola) sparkling soft drinks under well-known brands such as Dr Pepper, Snapple, and Canada Dry. The company controls production and route to market for its own brands through in-house manufacturing plants and distribution infrastructure and leverages these facilities to manufacture and distribute for third-party coffee and beverage brands via licensing and partnership agreements. U.S. and Canada make up 95% of revenues, with the rest from Mexico.
Executives
Matthew Andrew Archambault officer: President, Commercial 6425 HALL OF FAME LANE, FRISCO TX 75034
Timothy P. Cofer officer: Chief Operating Officer 6425 HALL OF FAME LANE, FRISCO TX 75034
Karin Rotem-wildeman officer: Chief R&D Officer 6425 HALL OF FAME LANE, FRISCO TX 75034
Robert S Singer director 6301 FITCH PATH, NEW ALBANY OH 43054
Anthony Shoemaker officer: Chief Legal Officer 6425 HALL OF FAME LANE, FRISCO TX 75034
Maria A. Sceppaguercio-gever officer: Chief Corp. Affairs Officer 53 SOUTH AVENUE, BURLINGTON MA 01803
Roger Frederick Johnson officer: Chief Supply Chain Officer 53 SOUTH AVENUE, BURLINGTON MA 01803
Sudhanshu Shekhar Priyadarshi officer: Chief Financial Officer 6425 HALL OF FAME LANE, FRISCO TX 75034
Mondelez International, Inc. director 905 WEST FULTON MARKET, SUITE 200, CHICAGO IL 60607
Robert James Gamgort director, officer: CEO & President KEURIG DR PEPPER INC., 6425 HALL OF FAME LANE, FRISCO TX 75034
Larry D Young director, officer: President & CEO 5301 LEGACY DRIVE, PLANO TX 75024
Oray Boston director 6425 HALL OF FAME LANE, FRISCO TX 75034
Maurice Anthony Milikin officer: Chief Supply Chain Officer 6425 HALL OF FAME LANE, FRISCO TX 75034
Georgios Lagoudakis officer: Interim CFO 6425 HALL OF FAME LANE, FRISCO TX 75034
Justin Whitmore officer: Chief Strategy Officer 6425 HALL OF FAME LANE, FRISCO TX 75034

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