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Darden Restaurants (Darden Restaurants) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $80.75 (As of Apr. 24, 2024)


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What is Darden Restaurants Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-24), Darden Restaurants's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $80.75. The stock price of Darden Restaurants is $156.61. Therefore, Darden Restaurants's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.9.

The historical rank and industry rank for Darden Restaurants's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

DRI' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.32   Med: 2.06   Max: 2.53
Current: 1.94

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Darden Restaurants was 2.53. The lowest was 1.32. And the median was 2.06.

DRI's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
59.63% of 218 companies
in the Restaurants industry
Industry Median: 1.43 vs DRI: 1.94

Darden Restaurants Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Darden Restaurants's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Darden Restaurants Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Darden Restaurants Annual Data
Trend May14 May15 May16 May17 May18 May19 May20 May21 May22 May23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 54.61 49.82 59.06 63.60 69.90

Darden Restaurants Quarterly Data
May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 69.48 69.90 70.16 72.53 80.75

Competitive Comparison of Darden Restaurants's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Restaurants subindustry, Darden Restaurants's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Darden Restaurants's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Darden Restaurants's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Darden Restaurants's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Darden Restaurants Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Darden Restaurants's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $787.82.

Darden Restaurants's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Feb24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(10.125989035996*787.824+2180.9*0.8)/120.400
=80.75

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Darden Restaurants  (NYSE:DRI) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Darden Restaurants's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=156.61/80.749312178527
=1.94

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Darden Restaurants Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Darden Restaurants (Darden Restaurants) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1000 Darden Center Drive, Orlando, FL, USA, 32837
Darden Restaurants is the largest restaurant operator in the U.S. full-service space, with consolidated revenue of $10.5 billion in fiscal 2023 resulting in 3%-4% full-service market share (per NRA data and our calculations). The company maintains a portfolio of 10 restaurant brands: Olive Garden, LongHorn Steakhouse, Cheddar's Scratch Kitchen, Ruth's Chris, Yard House, The Capital Grille, Seasons 52, Eddie V's, Bahama Breeze, and The Capital Burger. Darden generates revenue almost exclusively from company-owned restaurants, though a small network of franchised restaurants and consumer-packaged goods sales through the traditional grocery channel contribute modestly. As of the end of its fiscal 2023, the company operated 1,914 restaurants in the U.S.
Executives
John W. Madonna officer: SVP, Corporate Controller 1000 DARDEN CENTER DRIVE, ORLANDO FL 32837
Douglas J. Milanes officer: SVP, Chief Supply Chain Ofcr 1000 DARDEN CENTER DRIVE, ORLANDO FL 32837
Melvin John Martin officer: President, SRG 1000 DARDEN CENTER DRIVE, ORLANDO FL 32837
Sarah H. King officer: SVP, Chief HR Officer 1000 DARDEN CENTER DRIVE, ORLANDO FL 32837
Susan M. Connelly officer: SVP, Chief Comm & PA Officer 1000 DARDEN CENTER DRIVE, ORLANDO FL 32837
Lee Eugene I Jr officer: President, Speciality Rest Grp 1000 DARDEN CENTER DRIVE, ORLANDO FL 32837
Rajesh Vennam officer: SVP, CFO and Treasurer 1000 DARDEN CENTER DRIVE, ORLANDO FL 32837
Ricardo Cardenas officer: SVP Chief Strategy Officer 1000 DARDEN CENTER DRIVE, ORLANDO FL 32837
Matthew R Broad officer: SVP General Counsel C/O DARDEN RESTAURANTS, INC., 1000 DARDEN CENTER DRIVE, ORLANDO FL 32837
Todd Burrowes officer: President, LongHorn Steakhouse 150 WEST CHURCH AVENUE, MARYVILLE TN 37801
Daniel J. Kiernan officer: President, Olive Garden 1000 DARDEN CENTER DRIVE, ORLANDO FL 32837
William S Simon director 1000 DARDEN CENTER DRIVE, ORLANDO FL 32837
Nana Mensah director 1301 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10019
Richard L. Renninger officer: SVP, Chief Development Officer 1000 DARDEN CENTER DRIVE, ORLANDO FL 32837
Timothy J Wilmott director C/O PENN NATIONAL GAMING, INC., 825 BERKSHIRE BLVD., SUITE 200, WYOMISSING PA 19610

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