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Devon Energy (Devon Energy) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $52.56 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-19), Devon Energy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $52.56. The stock price of Devon Energy is $52.005. Therefore, Devon Energy's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Devon Energy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

DVN' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.86   Med: 1.8   Max: 10.54
Current: 0.99

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Devon Energy was 10.54. The lowest was 0.86. And the median was 1.80.

DVN's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
58.17% of 679 companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 0.85 vs DVN: 0.99

Devon Energy Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Devon Energy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Devon Energy Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -18.76 1.50 18.98 48.10 52.56

Devon Energy Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 48.10 45.59 47.09 49.84 52.56

Competitive Comparison

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Devon Energy's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Devon Energy Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Devon Energy's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Devon Energy's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Devon Energy Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Devon Energy's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $1,610.56.

Devon Energy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*1610.56+12061*0.8)/639.000
=52.56

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Devon Energy  (NYSE:DVN) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Devon Energy's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=52.005/52.560242434617
=0.99

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Devon Energy Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Devon Energy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Devon Energy (Devon Energy) Business Description

Industry
Address
333 West Sheridan Avenue, Oklahoma, OK, USA, 73102-5015
Devon Energy, based in Oklahoma City, is one of the largest independent exploration and production companies in North America. The firm's asset base is spread throughout onshore North America and includes exposure to the Delaware, STACK, Eagle Ford, Powder River Basin, and Bakken plays. At year-end 2022, Devon's proved reserves totaled 1.8 billion barrels of oil equivalent, and net production that year was 611 thousand boe/d, of which oil and natural gas liquids made up 73% of production, with natural gas accounting for the remainder.
Executives
Dennis C Cameron officer: EVP and General Counsel DEVON ENERGY, 333 W. SHERIDAN AVE, OKLAHOMA CITY OK 73102
Clay M Gaspar officer: EVP and COO 333 W. SHERIDAN AVE, OKLAHOMA CITY OK 73102
Richard E Muncrief director, officer: President and CEO 333 W. SHERIDAN AVE, OKLAHOMA CITY OK 73102
John E Bethancourt director 6001 BOLLINGER CANYON ROAD, SAN RAMON CA 94583
Michael N Mears director ONE WILLIAMS CENTER, MD 28-1, TULSA OK 74172
Gennifer F. Kelly director 1702 COMMERCE WAY, BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Valerie Williams director C/O OMNICOM GROUP INC., 280 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10017
Ann G Fox director 2001 KIRBY DRIVE, SUITE 200, HOUSTON TX 77019
Kelt Kindick director DEVON ENERGY CORP, 333 W SHERIDAN AVE, OKLAHOMA CITY OK 73102
Jeffrey L Ritenour officer: EVP & CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER 333 W. SHERIDAN AVENUE, OKLAHOMA CITY OK 73102
Jeremy D. Humphers officer: SVP Chief Accounting Officer 333 WEST SHERIDAN AVENUE, OKLAHOMA CITY OK 73102-5015
Tana K Cashion officer: SVP Human Resources and Admin 333 W. SHERIDAN AVENUE, OKLAHOMA CITY OK 73102
Felix Investments Holdings Ii, Llc director, 10 percent owner 1530 16TH STREET, SUITE 500, DENVER CO 80202
Encap Energy Capital Fund X, L.p. director, 10 percent owner 9651 KATY FREEWAY, SUITE 600, HOUSTON TX 77024
Karl F Kurz director DEVON ENERGY CORP., 333 W. SHERIDAN AVE, OKLAHOMA CITY OK 73102

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