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ExlService Holdings (ExlService Holdings) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $15.69 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-19), ExlService Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $15.69. The stock price of ExlService Holdings is $29.30. Therefore, ExlService Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.9.

The historical rank and industry rank for ExlService Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

EXLS' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.06   Med: 1.49   Max: 2.45
Current: 1.87

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of ExlService Holdings was 2.45. The lowest was 1.06. And the median was 1.49.

EXLS's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
57.23% of 1265 companies
in the Software industry
Industry Median: 1.59 vs EXLS: 1.87

ExlService Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for ExlService Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

ExlService Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 9.65 11.16 12.59 13.81 15.69

ExlService Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 13.81 13.43 14.24 14.76 15.69

Competitive Comparison

For the Information Technology Services subindustry, ExlService Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


ExlService Holdings Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Software industry and Technology sector, ExlService Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where ExlService Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



ExlService Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get ExlService Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $128.23.

ExlService Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*128.23152+889.437*0.8)/166.871
=15.69

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


ExlService Holdings  (NAS:EXLS) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

ExlService Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=29.30/15.68523125789
=1.87

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


ExlService Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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ExlService Holdings (ExlService Holdings) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
320 Park Avenue, 29th Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10022
ExlService Holdings Inc. is a business process management company that provides digital operations and analytical services to clients driving enterprise-scale business transformation initiatives that leverage company's deep expertise in analytics, AI, ML and cloud. The company offers business process outsourcing and automation services, and data-driven insights to customers in multiple industries. The company operates through four segments based on the products and services offered and markets served: Insurance, Healthcare, Emerging, Analytics. The vast majority of the company's revenue is earned in the United States, and more than half of its revenue comes from Analytics segment.
Executives
Vikas Bhalla officer: VP, Operations of EXL India C/O EXLSERVICE HOLDINGS, INC., 320 PARK AVENUE 29TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10022
Sarah K Williamson director 55 EAST 52ND STREET, C/O EVERCORE INC., NEW YORK NY 10055
Pamela M Harrison officer: CHIEF HUMAN RESOURCES OFFICER 6620 WEST BROAD STREET, RICHMOND VA 23230
Anne Elizabeth Minto director C/O EXLSERVICE HOLDINGS, INC., 320 PARK AVENUE 29TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10022
Clyde W Ostler director
Maurizio Nicolelli officer: Executive Vice President & CFO C/O CASA SYSTEMS, 100 OLD RIVER ROAD, SUITE 100, ANDOVER MA 01810
Andreas Fibig director INTERNATIONAL FLAVORS & FRAGRANCES INC., 521 WEST 57TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10019
Ajay Ayyappan officer: SVP & Gen Counsel/Corp. Sec'y. 320 PARK AVENUE, 29TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10022
Nalin Kumar Miglani officer: VP and Chief HR Officer C/O EXLSERVICE HOLDINGS INC, 320 PARK AVENUE 29TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10022
Garen K Staglin director C/O EXLSERVICE HOLDINGS, INC., 320 PARK AVENUE 29TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10022
Anita Mahon officer: See Remarks 320 PARK AVENUE, 29TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Narasimha Kini officer: VP, Advis. Serv. of EXL India C/O EXLSERVICE HOLDINGS, INC., 350 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Rohit Kapoor director, officer: President and CFO C/O EXLSERVICE HOLDINGS, INC., 320 PARK AVENUE 29TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10022
Ankor Rai officer: EVP, Chief Digital Officer 320 PARK AVENUE, 29TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Jaynie M Studenmund director 506 SECOND AVENUE, 9TH FLOOR, SEATTLE WA 98104