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Genesco (Genesco) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $161.70 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is Genesco Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-25), Genesco's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $161.70. The stock price of Genesco is $26.13. Therefore, Genesco's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.2.

The historical rank and industry rank for Genesco's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

GCO' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.16   Med: 0.45   Max: 0.87
Current: 0.16

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Genesco was 0.87. The lowest was 0.16. And the median was 0.45.

GCO's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
94.32% of 722 companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 0.8 vs GCO: 0.16

Genesco Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Genesco's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Genesco Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Genesco Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 99.07 108.58 159.06 145.52 161.70

Genesco Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 145.52 94.26 109.24 124.26 161.70

Competitive Comparison of Genesco's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Apparel Retail subindustry, Genesco's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Genesco's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Genesco's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Genesco's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Genesco Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Genesco's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $87.99.

Genesco's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jan24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*87.98624+571.202*0.8)/10.913
=161.70

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Genesco  (NYSE:GCO) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Genesco's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=26.13/161.70352618091
=0.16

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Genesco Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Genesco's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Genesco (Genesco) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
535 Marriott Drive, Nashville, TN, USA, 37214
Genesco Inc sells footwear, headwear, sports apparel, and accessories. The company has four reportable segments namely Journeys Group, derives maximum revenue which comprised of Journeys, Journeys Kidz and Little Burgundy retail footwear chains, e-commerce operations, and catalog. Its Schuh Group comprised of the Schuh retail footwear chain and e-commerce operations. The Johnston & Murphy Group, comprised of Johnston & Murphy retail operations, e-commerce operations and catalog and wholesale distribution of products under the Johnston & Murphy and H.S. Trask brands. Licensed Brands, comprised of Dockers Footwear, under a license from Levi Strauss & Company.
Executives
Gregory A Sandfort director GENESCO INC., 535 MARRIOTT DRIVE, NASHVILLE TN 37214
Matthew C Diamond director
Daniel E Ewoldsen officer: Senior VP 535 MARRIOTT DRIVE, NASHVILLE TN 37214
Mimi Eckel Vaughn officer: Vice President C/O GENESCO INC, 535 MARRIOTT DRIVE, NASHVILLE TN 37214
Thomas George officer: Sr VP-Finance and Interim CFO 535 MARRIOTT DRIVE, NASHVILLE TN 37214
Matthew M Bilunas director C/O BEST BUY CO., INC., 7601 PENN AVENUE SOUTH, RICHFIELD MN 55423
Carolyn Bojanowski director 79 CLYDE, SAN RAFAEL CA 94901
Kathleen Mason director GENESCO INC., 1415 MURFREESBORO ROAD, NASHVILLE TN 37217
Mary E Meixelsperger director 810 DSW DRIVE, COLUMBUS OH 43219
Angel R Martinez director C/O TUPPERWARE BRANDS CORP, PO BOX 2353, ORLANDO FL 32802-2353
Marty G Dickens director
Thurgood Jr Marshall director 3000 K STREET N W, SUITE 300, WASHINGTON DC 20007-5116
John F Lambros director 535 MARRIOTT DRIVE, NASHVILLE TN 37214
Robert J Dennis officer: Senior Vice President GENESCO INC., 1415 MURFREESBORO ROAD, NASHVILLE TN 37217
Brently G. Baxter officer: VP & Chief Accounting Officer C/O GENESCO INC., 535 MARRIOTT DRIVE, NASHVILLE TN 37214