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Howard Hughes Holdings (Howard Hughes Holdings) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $57.24 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-23), Howard Hughes Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $57.24. The stock price of Howard Hughes Holdings is $62.92. Therefore, Howard Hughes Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.1.

The historical rank and industry rank for Howard Hughes Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HHH' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.87   Med: 1.37   Max: 2.26
Current: 1.1

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Howard Hughes Holdings was 2.26. The lowest was 0.87. And the median was 1.37.

HHH's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
68.99% of 1264 companies
in the Real Estate industry
Industry Median: 0.63 vs HHH: 1.10

Howard Hughes Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Howard Hughes Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Howard Hughes Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 93.43 71.31 70.07 87.53 57.24

Howard Hughes Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Take a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 87.53 68.68 68.02 57.44 57.24

Competitive Comparison

For the Real Estate - Diversified subindustry, Howard Hughes Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Howard Hughes Holdings Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Howard Hughes Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Howard Hughes Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Howard Hughes Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Howard Hughes Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $46.86.

Howard Hughes Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*46.85504+2992.871*0.8)/49.619
=57.24

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Howard Hughes Holdings  (NYSE:HHH) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Howard Hughes Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=62.92/57.243661799774
=1.10

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Howard Hughes Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Howard Hughes Holdings (Howard Hughes Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
9950 Woodloch Forest Drive, Suite 1100, 11th Floor, The Woodlands, TX, USA, 77380
Howard Hughes Holdings Inc owns, manages, and develops commercial, residential, and mixed-use real estate throughout the USA. Its portfolio is strategically positioned to meet and accelerate development based on market demand, resulting in one of the strongest real estate platforms in the country.
Executives
Douglas Johnstone officer: Regional President, Hawaii ONE GALLERIA TOWER, 13355 NOEL ROAD, 22ND FOOR, DALLAS TX 75240
Pershing Square Capital Management, L.p. director, 10 percent owner 787 11TH AVENUE, 9TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Zachary Winick officer: CO-PRESIDENT, NEW YORK REGION C/O THE HOWARD HUGHES CORPORATION, 199 WATER STREET, 28TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10038
Elena Verbinskaya officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O IPSCO TUBULARS INC., 10120 HOUSTON OAKS DRIVE, HOUSTON TX 77064
Kristi Smith officer: President, Columbia 9950 WOODLOCH FOREST DRIVE, SUITE 1100, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
William A Ackman director, 10 percent owner 787 - 11TH AVENUE, 9TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Ps Management Gp, Llc director, 10 percent owner 787 - 11TH AVENUE, 9TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Frank Stephan officer: PRESIDENT, NEVADA 9950 WOODLOCH FOREST DRIVE, SUITE 1100, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
Anthony Williams director 9950 WOODLOCH FOREST DRIVE, SUITE 1100, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
David Eun director 9950 WOODLOCH FOREST DRIVE, SUITE 1100, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
David Michael Striph officer: EVP, Head of Operations ONE GALLERIA TOWER, 13355 NOEL ROAD, 22ND FLOOR, DALLAS TX 75240
Andrew Schwartz officer: CO-PRESIDENT, NEW YORK REGION C/O THE HOWARD HUGHES CORPORATION, 199 WATER STREET, 28TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10038
Heath Melton officer: PRESIDENT, PHOENIX REGION 9950 WOODLOCH FOREST DRIVE, SUITE 1100, THE WOODLANDS TX 77381
Carlos A. Olea officer: CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER 9950 WOODLOCH FOREST DRIVE, SUITE 1100, THE WOODLANDS TX 77381
L Jay Cross officer: President 233 SOUTH WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 4600, CHICAGO IL 60606