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Jakks Pacific (Jakks Pacific) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $37.49 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-19), Jakks Pacific's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $37.49. The stock price of Jakks Pacific is $22.44. Therefore, Jakks Pacific's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for Jakks Pacific's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

JAKK' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.13   Med: 0.84   Max: 1.67
Current: 0.6

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Jakks Pacific was 1.67. The lowest was 0.13. And the median was 0.84.

JAKK's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
74.69% of 561 companies
in the Travel & Leisure industry
Industry Median: 1.2 vs JAKK: 0.60

Jakks Pacific Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Jakks Pacific's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Jakks Pacific Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 12.29 36.94 16.38 30.13 37.49

Jakks Pacific Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 30.13 25.08 26.81 39.98 37.49

Competitive Comparison

For the Leisure subindustry, Jakks Pacific's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Jakks Pacific Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Jakks Pacific's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Jakks Pacific's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Jakks Pacific Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Jakks Pacific's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $26.81.

Jakks Pacific's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*26.80896+189.413*0.8)/10.851
=37.49

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Jakks Pacific  (NAS:JAKK) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Jakks Pacific's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=22.44/37.486049684099
=0.60

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Jakks Pacific Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Jakks Pacific's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Jakks Pacific (Jakks Pacific) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2951 28th Street, Santa Monica, CA, USA, 90405
Jakks Pacific Inc is a multi-brand toy company that designs, produces, markets, and distributes toys and related products, consumables, and related products, electronics and related products, kids' indoor and outdoor furniture, and other consumer products. Its products offering include Traditional toys and electronics such as Action figures, Toy vehicles, Dolls and accessories, Ride-on toys, Toys for pets, and others.
Executives
Benefit Street Partners Llc 10 percent owner 9 WEST 57TH STREET, SUITE 4920, NEW YORK NY 10019
Lawrence I Rosen 10 percent owner 1578 SUSSEX TURNPIKE, BUILDING 5, RANDOLPH NJ 07689
Stephen G Berman director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO, President and Secretary 22619 PACIFIC COAST HWY, MALIBU CA 90265
Lori Macpherson director C/O JAKKS PACIFIC INC., 2951 28TH ST., SANTA MONICA CA 90405
Thomas Gahan 10 percent owner 9 WEST 57TH STREET, SUITE 4700, NEW YORK NY 10019
John Joseph Mcgrath officer: Chief Operating Officer 22619 PACIFIC COAST HIGHWAY, MALIBU CA 90265
John Louis Kimble officer: Chief Financial Officer 49 8TH STREET, HERMOSA BEACH CA 90254
Carole Levine director C/O JAKKS PACIFIC INC., 2951 28TH STREET, SANTA MONICA CA 90405
Axar Capital Management L.p. director, other: See Remarks 402 W 13TH STREET, FLOOR 5, NEW YORK NY 10014
Axar Gp, Llc director, other: See Remarks C/O AXAR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LP, 402 W 13TH STREET, FLOOR 5, NEW YORK NY 10014
Andrew Axelrod director, other: See Remarks C/O AXAR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LP, 402 W 13TH STREET, FLOOR 5, NEW YORK NY 10014
Matthew T. Winkler director C/O JAKKS PACIFIC INC., 2951 28TH STREET, SANTA MONICA CA 90405
Brent T Novak officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O IXIA, 26601 W. AGOURA ROAD, CALABASAS CA 91302
Michael S Sitrick director 11777 SAN VICENTE BLVD SUITE 5500, LOS ANGELES CA 90049
Meisheng Cultural & Creative Corp., Ltd. 10 percent owner NANYAN DISTRICT, HI-TECH INDUSTRIAL PARK, XINCHANG, SHAOXING F4 312500