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Kellanova Co (Kellanova Co) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $35.77 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-19), Kellanova Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $35.77. The stock price of Kellanova Co is $57.535. Therefore, Kellanova Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for Kellanova Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

K' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.56   Med: 1.99   Max: 2.39
Current: 1.61

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Kellanova Co was 2.39. The lowest was 1.56. And the median was 1.99.

K's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
64.7% of 1221 companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 1.11 vs K: 1.61

Kellanova Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Kellanova Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Kellanova Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 27.12 30.40 32.42 32.59 35.77

Kellanova Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 32.59 32.86 34.41 37.23 35.77

Competitive Comparison

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Kellanova Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kellanova Co Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Kellanova Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kellanova Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Kellanova Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Kellanova Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $1,023.04.

Kellanova Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*1023.04+3175*0.8)/343.261
=35.77

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Kellanova Co  (NYSE:K) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Kellanova Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=57.535/35.773654731344
=1.61

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Kellanova Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Kellanova Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Kellanova Co (Kellanova Co) Business Description

Address
412 N. Wells Street, Chicago, IL, USA, 60654
Following its split from the North American cereal business, Kellanova (previously the global snacking arm of Kellogg) is a leading global manufacturer and marketer of salty snacks, snack bars, frozen breakfast fare, meat alternatives, and other packaged foods. Its offerings are manufactured in around 20 countries and marketed in more than 180 countries. Its product mix includes well-known brands such as Pringles, Cheez-It, Rice Krispies Treats, Pop-Tarts, Eggo, Nutri-Grain, and Morningstar Farms. Sales beyond its home turf account for about half of Kellanova's consolidated sales base.
Executives
Kellogg W K Foundation Trust 10 percent owner 50 S. LA SALLE ST., B-10, CHICAGO IL 60603
John Min officer: Chief Legal Officer ONE KELLOGG SQUARE, BATTLE CREEK MI 49017
Christopher M Hood officer: Senior Vice President ONE KELLOGG SQUARE, PO BOX 3599, BATTLE CREEK MI 49016-3599
Kris Bahner officer: SVP-Chief Global Corp Affairs ONE KELLOGG SQUARE, BATTLE CREEK MI 49017
Nicolas Amaya officer: Senior Vice President ONE KELLOGG SQUARE, BATTLE CREEK MI 49017
Charisse Ford Hughes officer: Senior Vice President C/O CROCS, INC., 13601 VIA VARRA, BROOMFIELD CO 80020
Gary H Pilnick officer: Senior Vice President
Kurt D Forche officer: VP-Corporate Controller ONE KELLOGG SQUARE, PO BOX 3599, BATTLE CREEK MI 49016-3599
Amit Banati officer: Senior Vice President ONE KELLOGG SQUARE, PO BOX 3599, BATTLE CREEK MI 49016-3599
Rodrigo Lance officer: Senior Vice President ONE KELLOGG SQUARE, BATTLE CREEK MI 49017
Alistair D Hirst officer: SVP - Global Supply Chain ONE KELLOGG SQUARE, PO BOX 3599, BATTLE CREEK MI 49016-3599
J Michael Schlotman director 1014 VINE ST, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Steven A Cahillane director, officer: CEO & President ONE COCA-COLA PLAZA, ATLANTA GA 30313
Shumit Kapoor officer: Senior Vice President ONE KELLOGG SQUARE, BATTLE CREEK MI 49017
Maria Fernanda Mejia officer: Senior Vice President ONE KELLOGG SQUARE, PO BOX 3599, BATTLE CREEK MI 49016-3599

Kellanova Co (Kellanova Co) Headlines

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