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Distribution Solutions Group (Distribution Solutions Group) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $15.89 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-23), Distribution Solutions Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $15.89. The stock price of Distribution Solutions Group is $34.14. Therefore, Distribution Solutions Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.2.

The historical rank and industry rank for Distribution Solutions Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

DSGR' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.28   Med: 2.21   Max: 6.24
Current: 2.15

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Distribution Solutions Group was 6.24. The lowest was 1.28. And the median was 2.21.

DSGR's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
83.47% of 121 companies
in the Industrial Distribution industry
Industry Median: 0.83 vs DSGR: 2.15

Distribution Solutions Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Distribution Solutions Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Distribution Solutions Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 8.21 11.50 11.88 14.30 15.89

Distribution Solutions Group Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 14.30 12.27 14.34 15.47 15.89

Competitive Comparison

For the Industrial Distribution subindustry, Distribution Solutions Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Distribution Solutions Group Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Industrial Distribution industry and Industrials sector, Distribution Solutions Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Distribution Solutions Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Distribution Solutions Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Distribution Solutions Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $16.36.

Distribution Solutions Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(13.137944322724*16.35552+661.601*0.8)/46.826
=15.89

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Distribution Solutions Group  (NAS:DSGR) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Distribution Solutions Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=34.14/15.891998272951
=2.15

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Distribution Solutions Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Distribution Solutions Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Distribution Solutions Group (Distribution Solutions Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
8770 W. Bryn Mawr Avenue, Suite 900, Chicago, IL, USA, 60631
Distribution Solutions Group Inc is an industrial distributor of maintenance and repair supplies. It has three operating segments namely Lawson, TestEquity, and Gexpro Services, of which key revenue is derived from the TestEquity segment. The TestEquity segment is a distributor of test and measurement equipment and solutions, electronic production supplies, and tool kits from its leading manufacturer partners supporting the technology, aerospace, defense, automotive, electronics, education, and medical industries.
Executives
Cesar Lanuza officer: President and CEO 8770 W. BYRN MAWR AVE. SUITE 900, C/O LAWSON PRODUCTS, CHICAGO IL 60634
Lkcm Headwater Investments Iv, L.p. 10 percent owner 301 COMMERCE STREET, SUITE 1600, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Robert Zamarripa director 8770 W. BYRN MAWR AVE. SUITE 900, C/O DISTRIBUTION SOLUTIONS GROUP, INC., CHICAGO IL 60631
Robert R Connors officer: See Remarks POST OFFICE 792, MUNCIE IN 47308-0792
Russ Frazee officer: See Remarks 8770 W. BYRN MAWR AVE. SUITE 900, C/O LAWSON PRODUCTS, CHICAGO IL 60634
King Luther Capital Management Corp 10 percent owner 301 COMMERCE SUITE 1600, FORT WORTH TX 76102
301 Hw Opus Investors, Llc 10 percent owner 301 COMMERCE STREET, SUITE 1600, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Lkcm Te Investors, Llc 10 percent owner 301 COMMERCE STREET, SUITE 1600, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Lkcm Headwater Ii Sidecar Partnership, L.p. 10 percent owner 301 COMMERCE STREET, SUITE 1600, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Lkcm Headwater Investments Iii, L.p. 10 percent owner 301 COMMERCE STREET, SUITE 1600, FORT WORTH TX 76102
David S Lambert officer: VP, Controller and CAO 770 W. BRYN MAWR AVE., SUITE 900, CHICAGO IL 60631
Bianca Rhodes director 8770 W. BRYN MAWR AVE. SUITE 900, C/O LAWSON PRODUCTS, CHICAGO IL 60622
Richard D Pufpaf officer: SVP and General Counsel 8770 W. BRYN MAWR AVE. SUITE 900, CHICAGO IL 60631
Matthew Jay Brown officer: SVP, Sales C/O LAWSON PRODUCTS, INC., 8770 WEST BRYN MAWR AVE, SUITE 900, CHICAGO IL 60631
Shane Mccarthy officer: SVP, Operations C/O LAWSON PRODUCTS, INC., 8770 WEST BRYN MAWR AVENUE, SUITE 900, CHICAGO IL 60631