Switch to:
GuruFocus has detected 3 Warning Signs with Layne Christensen Co \$LAYN.
More than 500,000 people have already joined GuruFocus to track the stocks they follow and exchange investment ideas.
Layne Christensen Co (NAS:LAYN)
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
\$-13.99 (As of Today)

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today, Layne Christensen Co's projected FCF intrinsic value is \$-13.99. The stock price of Layne Christensen Co is \$8.00. Therefore, Layne Christensen Co's Price to Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Ratio of today is 0.0.

During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Ratio of Layne Christensen Co was 5.19. The lowest was 0.00. And the median was 1.63.

Definition

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of total equity.

Value = ((Growth Multiple)*Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) + 0.8*Total Equity(most recent))/Shares Outstanding

In the case of negative total equity, the following formula is used (see the Total Equity section for the reason):

Value = ((Growth Multiple)*Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) + Total Equity(most recent)/0.8)/Shares Outstanding

Here Layne Christensen Co's FCF(6 year avg) is calculate as

Layne Christensen Co Quarterly Data

 201410 201501 201504 201507 201510 201601 201604 201607 201610 201701 total_freecashflow 11.8 -14.5 11.1 -23.9 -7.7 -5.4 -8.9 -1.1 6.8 -5.6 201204 201207 201210 201301 201304 201307 201310 201401 201404 201407 total_freecashflow -19.4 -24.8 -13.2 6.2 1.7 -24.0 -6.3 -6.9 -16.0 -20.6 201104 201107 201110 201201 total_freecashflow -23 -28 -7.3 3.3

Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Layne Christensen Co's FCF(6 year avg) = \$-35.98.

Layne Christensen Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

 Intrinsic Value = (Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) + Total Equity(Jan17) * 0.8) / Shares Outstanding = (9.52035159596 * -35.978 + 82.22 * 0.8) / 19.786 = -13.99

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.

Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy medium after taking the above ideas into consideration. Learn more here.

Layne Christensen Co's Price to Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Ratio for today is calculated as

 Price to Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = Share Price / Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = 8.00 / -13.9870216173 =

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.

Related Terms

Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.

Layne Christensen Co Annual Data

 Jan08 Jan09 Jan10 Jan11 Jan12 Jan13 Jan14 Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Projected FCF 15.45 16.08 23.67 25.34 19.38 13.88 5.35 -3.14 -11.30 -13.99

Layne Christensen Co Quarterly Data

 Oct14 Jan15 Apr15 Jul15 Oct15 Jan16 Apr16 Jul16 Oct16 Jan17 Projected FCF 0.79 -3.14 -2.55 -6.53 -9.49 -11.30 -10.95 -11.06 -11.89 -13.99
Get WordPress Plugins for easy affiliate links on Stock Tickers and Guru Names | Earn affiliate commissions by embedding GuruFocus Charts
GuruFocus Affiliate Program: Earn up to \$400 per referral. ( Learn More)