Switch to:
Lloyds Banking Group PLC (NYSE:LYG)
Intrinsic Value (DCF Projected)
$1.03 (As of Today)

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value (DCF), or Discounted Earnings (DCE) Intrinsic Value (DE) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Discounted Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today, Lloyds Banking Group PLC's DCF projected intrinsic value is $1.03. The stock price of Lloyds Banking Group PLC is $5.09. Therefore, Lloyds Banking Group PLC's Price to Intrinsic Value (DCF Projected) Ratio of today is 4.9.

LYG' s 10-Year Price to Intrinsic Value (DCF Projected) Range
Min: 0.11   Max: 3.11
Current: 4.9

0.11
3.11

During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Intrinsic Value (DCF Projected) Ratio of Lloyds Banking Group PLC was 3.11. The lowest was 0.11. And the median was 0.51.

LYG's Price to Intrinsic Value (DCF Projected) is ranked higher than
69% of the 1834 Companies
in the Global Banks - Regional - Europe industry.

( Industry Median: 1.56 vs. LYG: 4.90 )

Definition

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value (DCF), or Discounted Earnings (DCE) Intrinsic Value (DE) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Discounted Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of total equity.

Value = ((Growth Multiple)*Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) + 0.8*Total Equity(most recent))/Shares Outstanding

In the case of negative total equity, the following formula is used (see the Total Equity section for the reason):

Value = ((Growth Multiple)*Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) + Total Equity(most recent)/0.8)/Shares Outstanding


Here Lloyds Banking Group PLC's FCF(6 year avg) is calculate as

Lloyds Banking Group PLC Quarterly Data

201112201203201206201209201212201303201306201309201312201403
total_freecashflow 14,307032,7720-33,4840-29,09401,0870
200812200906200912201003201006201009201012201103201106201109
total_freecashflow 52,103-10,458-48,520016,0640-24,856012,2520
200709200712200803200806
total_freecashflow 02,3360-7,256

Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Lloyds Banking Group PLC's FCF(6 year avg) = $-3,791.30.

Lloyds Banking Group PLC's DCF Projected Intrinsic Value for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow(6 year avg)+Total Equity(Mar14)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding
=(9.52035159596*-3791.30272253+68025.1256281*0.8)/17842.11
=1.03

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.


Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy medium after taking the above ideas into consideration. Learn more here.

Lloyds Banking Group PLC's Price to DCF Projected Intrinsic Value Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to DCF Projected Intrinsic Value=Share Price/DCF Projected Intrinsic Value
=5.09/1.02709632309
=4.96

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.


Related Terms

Intrinsic Value (DE), Intrinsic Value (DCF), Free Cash Flow


Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

Lloyds Banking Group PLC Annual Data

Dec04Dec05Dec06Dec07Dec08Dec09Dec10Dec11Dec12Dec13
iv_dcf_share 0.000.0069.6376.9828.328.066.266.446.022.31

Lloyds Banking Group PLC Quarterly Data

Dec11Mar12Jun12Sep12Dec12Mar13Jun13Sep13Dec13Mar14
iv_dcf_share 6.446.439.289.456.024.732.072.312.311.03
Get WordPress Plugins for easy affiliate links on Stock Tickers and Guru Names | Earn affiliate commissions by embedding GuruFocus Charts
GuruFocus Affiliate Program: Earn up to $400 per referral. ( Learn More)
Free 7-day Trial
FEEDBACK
Email Hide