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Mondelez International (Mondelez International) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $47.02 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-23), Mondelez International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $47.02. The stock price of Mondelez International is $69.41. Therefore, Mondelez International's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for Mondelez International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

MDLZ' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.21   Med: 1.51   Max: 1.9
Current: 1.48

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Mondelez International was 1.90. The lowest was 1.21. And the median was 1.51.

MDLZ's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
61.9% of 1223 companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 1.1 vs MDLZ: 1.48

Mondelez International Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Mondelez International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Mondelez International Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 33.65 32.61 34.85 41.24 47.02

Mondelez International Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 41.24 41.00 43.86 44.19 47.02

Competitive Comparison

For the Confectioners subindustry, Mondelez International's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Mondelez International Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Mondelez International's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Mondelez International's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Mondelez International Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Mondelez International's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $3,244.32.

Mondelez International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(12.782718065916*3244.32+28332*0.8)/1364.000
=47.02

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Mondelez International  (NAS:MDLZ) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Mondelez International's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=69.41/47.021134806167
=1.48

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Mondelez International Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Mondelez International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Mondelez International (Mondelez International) Business Description

Address
905 West Fulton Market, Suite 200, Chicago, IL, USA, 60607
Mondelez has operated as an independent organization since its split from the former Kraft Foods North American grocery business in October 2012. The firm is a leading player in the global snack arena with a presence in the biscuit (50% of sales), chocolate (30%), gum/candy (11%), beverage (3%), and cheese and grocery (6%) aisles, as of the end of fiscal 2022. Mondelez's portfolio includes well-known brands like Oreo, Chips Ahoy, Halls, and Cadbury, among others. The firm derives just shy of 40% of revenue from developing markets, about one third from Europe, and the remainder from North America.
Executives
Hart Cees 't director C/O MONDELEZ INTERNATIONAL, 905 WEST FULTON MARKET, SUITE 200, CHICAGO IL 60607
Deepak D. Iyer officer: EVP and President AMEA C/O MONDELEZ INTERNATIONAL, INC., 905 WEST FULTON MARKET, SUITE 200, CHICAGO IL 60607
Anindita Mukherjee director 8501 WILLIAMS ROAD, ESTERO FL 33928
Maurizio Brusadelli officer: EVP and President Asia Pac MONDELEZ INTERNATIONAL, INC., THREE PARKWAY NORTH, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Daniel E Ramos officer: Chief Res & Dev Officer 350 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10118
Ertharin Cousin director 250 PARKCENTER BLVD PO BOX 20, BOISE ID 83726
Robin S. Hargrove officer: EVP, Research, Dev & Quality C/O MONDELEZ INTERNATIONAL, INC., THREE PARKWAY NORTH, DEERFIELD IL 60048
Mariano Lozano officer: EVP and President, LA C/O THE DANONE COMPANY, INC., 100 HILLSIDE AVENUE, WHITE PLAINS NY 10603
Fredric G Reynolds director PINTEREST, INC., 651 BRANNAN, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Vinzenz P. Gruber officer: EVP and President, Europe C/O MONDELEZ INTERNATIONAL, INC., THREE PARKWAY NORTH, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Trian Fund Management, L.p. director 280 PARK AVENUE, 41ST FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Glen Walter officer: EVP & President, North America THE COCA-COLA COMPANY, ONE COCA-COLA PLAZA, ATLANTA GA 30313
Charles E Bunch director PPG INDUSTRIES INC., ONE PPG PLACE, PITTSBURGH PA 15272
Michael Andrew Call officer: VP, Corporate Controller & CAO 905 WEST FULTON MARKET, SUITE 200, CHICAGO IL 60607
Jane Nielsen director 516 WEST 34TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10001