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GuruFocus has detected 6 Warning Signs with Marvell Technology Group Ltd $MRVL.
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Marvell Technology Group Ltd (NAS:MRVL)
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
$12.49 (As of Today)

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today, Marvell Technology Group Ltd's projected FCF intrinsic value is $12.49. The stock price of Marvell Technology Group Ltd is $15.06. Therefore, Marvell Technology Group Ltd's Price to Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Ratio of today is 1.2.

MRVL' s Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.51   Max: 5.61
Current: 1.21

0.51
5.61

During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Ratio of Marvell Technology Group Ltd was 5.61. The lowest was 0.51. And the median was 1.10.

MRVL's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF is ranked higher than
59% of the 457 Companies
in the Global Semiconductors industry.

( Industry Median: 1.54 vs. MRVL: 1.21 )

Definition

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of total equity.

Value = ((Growth Multiple)*Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) + 0.8*Total Equity(most recent))/Shares Outstanding

In the case of negative total equity, the following formula is used (see the Total Equity section for the reason):

Value = ((Growth Multiple)*Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) + Total Equity(most recent)/0.8)/Shares Outstanding


Here Marvell Technology Group Ltd's FCF(6 year avg) is calculate as

Marvell Technology Group Ltd Quarterly Data

201410201501201504201507201510201601201604201607201610201701
total_freecashflow 1601393885748-620-11108110
201204201207201210201301201304201307201310201401201404201407
total_freecashflow 178174113161586615784211140
201104201107201110201201
total_freecashflow 15723523938

Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Marvell Technology Group Ltd's FCF(6 year avg) = $340.69.

Marvell Technology Group Ltd's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow(6 year avg)+Total Equity(Jan17)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding
=(9.52035159596*340.690333333+4027.651*0.8)/517.513
=12.49

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.


Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy medium after taking the above ideas into consideration. Learn more here.

Marvell Technology Group Ltd's Price to Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=15.06/12.493623462
=1.21

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.


Related Terms

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based), Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), Free Cash Flow


Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.

Marvell Technology Group Ltd Annual Data

Jan08Jan09Jan10Jan11Jan12Jan13Jan14Jan15Jan16Jan17
Projected FCF 7.7110.0712.9815.3215.3617.0021.7022.6917.4712.49

Marvell Technology Group Ltd Quarterly Data

Oct14Jan15Apr15Jul15Oct15Jan16Apr16Jul16Oct16Jan17
Projected FCF 23.4322.6919.9818.5418.2817.4714.8113.8112.9312.49
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