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Intel (INTC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $33.93 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-18), Intel's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $33.93. The stock price of Intel is $35.04. Therefore, Intel's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Intel's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

INTC' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.6   Med: 1.05   Max: 1.48
Current: 1.03

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Intel was 1.48. The lowest was 0.60. And the median was 1.05.

INTC's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
75.77% of 582 companies
in the Semiconductors industry
Industry Median: 1.99 vs INTC: 1.03

Intel Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Intel's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Intel Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 52.58 66.93 68.08 44.28 33.93

Intel Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 44.28 38.23 36.59 35.78 33.93

Competitive Comparison

For the Semiconductors subindustry, Intel's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Intel Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Semiconductors industry and Technology sector, Intel's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Intel's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Intel Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Intel's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $6,482.72.

Intel's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*6482.72+105590*0.8)/4308.000
=33.93

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Intel  (NAS:INTC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Intel's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=35.04/33.934487859376
=1.03

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Intel Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Intel's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Intel (INTC) Business Description

Industry
Address
2200 Mission College Boulevard, Santa Clara, CA, USA, 95054-1549
Intel is a leading digital chipmaker, focused on the design and manufacturing of microprocessors for the global personal computer and data center markets. Intel pioneered the x86 architecture for microprocessors and was the prime proponent of Moore's law for advances in semiconductor manufacturing. Intel remains the market share leader in central processing units in both the PC and server end markets. Intel has also been expanding into new adjacencies, such as communications infrastructure, automotive, and the Internet of Things. Further, Intel expects to leverage its chip manufacturing capabilities into an outsourced foundry model where it constructs chips for others.
Executives
Lip Bu Tan director ONE CALIFORNIA STREET 28TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Patrick P Gelsinger officer: SENIOR VICE PRESIDENT VMWARE, INC., 3401 HILLVIEW AVENUE, PALO ALTO CA 94304
Michelle Johnston Holthaus officer: EVP & GM, CCG 1400 FOUNTAINGROVE PARKWAY, SANTA ROSA CA 95403
David Zinsner officer: EVP, CFO 1001 MURPHY RANCH ROAD, MILPITAS CA 95035
Omar Ishrak director 710 MEDTRONIC PKWY, MS LC300, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55432
Barbara Novick director 21 PINE COURT, NEW PROVIDENCE NJ 07974
Scott Gawel officer: CVP, Chief Accounting Officer
Boise April Miller officer: EVP and Chief Legal Officer C/O INTEL CORPORATION, 2200 MISSION COLLEGE BLVD, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Christoph Schell officer: EVP; Chief Cml Ofcr; GM, SMG C/O INTEL CORPORATION, 2200 MISSION COLLEGE BLVD, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Steven Ralph Rodgers officer: EVP General Counsel 2200 MISSION COLLEGE BLVD., ROSEVILLE CA 95054
Gregory M Bryant officer: EVP, GM, CCG 2200 MISSION COLLEGE BLVD, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Tsu-jae King Liu director 2200 MISSION COLLEGE BLVD, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Dion J Weisler director C/O HP INC., 1501 PAGE MILL RD, PALO ALTO CA 94304
Gregory D Smith director 100 N RIVERSIDE PLAZA, M/C 3005-1001, CHICAGO IL 60606-1596
James J Goetz director C/O SEQUOIA CAPITAL, 2800 SAND HILL RD, SUITE 101, MENLO PARK CA 94025

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