MGE Energy (MGE Energy) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $18.42 (As of Today)

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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-24), MGE Energy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $18.42. The stock price of MGE Energy is $77.475. Therefore, MGE Energy's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 4.2.

The historical rank and industry rank for MGE Energy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

MGEE' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.62 Med: 2.75 Max: 4.25
Current: 4.19

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of MGE Energy was 4.25. The lowest was 1.62. And the median was 2.75.

MGEE's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
88.71% of 372 companies
in the Utilities - Regulated industry
Industry Median: 1.045 vs MGEE: 4.19

MGE Energy Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for MGE Energy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

MGE Energy Annual Data

Trend

Dec14

Dec15

Dec16

Dec17

Dec18

Dec19

Dec20

Dec21

Dec22

Dec23

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

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24.34

22.20

20.51

18.03

18.42

MGE Energy Quarterly Data
	Mar19	Jun19	Sep19	Dec19	Mar20	Jun20	Sep20	Dec20	Mar21	Jun21	Sep21	Dec21	Mar22	Jun22	Sep22	Dec22	Mar23	Jun23	Sep23	Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF	Get a 7-Day Free Trial															18.03	18.72	18.28	19.88	18.42

Competitive Comparison

For the Utilities - Regulated Electric subindustry, MGE Energy's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

MGE Energy Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, MGE Energy's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where MGE Energy's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.

MGE Energy Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get MGE Energy's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-24.24.

MGE Energy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF	=	(Growth Multiple	*	Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)	+	Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)	*	0.8)	/	Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
	=	(10.125989035996	*	-24.23664	+	1140.073	*	0.8)	/	36.189
	=	18.42

MGE Energy (NAS:MGEE) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

MGE Energy's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF	=	Share Price	/	Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
	=	77.475	/	18.421024319285
	=	4.21

MGE Energy Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of MGE Energy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

MGE Energy (MGE Energy) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Utilities » Utilities - Regulated » MGE Energy Inc (NAS:MGEE) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

Comparable Companies

PNM POR HE IDA GNE VIA SUME OGE PNW EVRG NEE SO DUK LSE:NG. AEP PCG D BOM:532555 EXC PEG

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

133 South Blair Street, Madison, WI, USA, 53788

Website

https://www.mgeenergy.com

MGE Energy Inc is a U.S. public utilities holding company based in Wisconsin. The firm generates, purchases, and distributes electricity and natural gas, and also provides transmission services, the company generates electricity from coal and purchased power, but also from natural gas, fuel oil, and renewable sources. MGE operates through five segments, which include Regulated electric utility operations, Regulated gas utility operations, Non-regulated energy operations, Transmission investments, and All other segment which includes investing in companies and property and financing the regulated operations. The majority of electric retail revenue is derived from commercial consumers whereas the majority of natural gas revenue is derived from residential consumers.

Executives

Scott Robert Smith	officer: VP Bus. Regulatory Strategy	623 RAILROAD STREET, PO BOX 1231, MADISON WI 53701-1231
James G Berbee	director	133 S BLAIR STREET, PO BOX 1231, MADISON WI 53701-1231
James Jerome Lorenz	officer: VP Business Operations	623 RAILROAD STREET, PO BOX 1231, MADISON WI 53701-1231
Noble Lynnwood Wray	director	623 RAILROAD STREET, PO BOX 1231, MADISON WI 53701-1231
Lynn K Hobbie	officer: Exec VP Marketing & Corp Comm	133 SOUTH BLAIR ST, P.O. BOX 1231, MADISON WI 53701-1231
Gary J Wolter	director	133 SOUTH BLAIR ST., P.O. BOX 1231, MADISON WI 53701-1231
Cari Anne Renlund	officer: VP and General Counsel	133 S BLAIR STREET, PO BOX 1231, MADISON WI 53701-1231
James L Possin	director	133 SOUTH BLAIR STREET, P.O. BOX 1231, MADISON WI 53701-1231
Tamara Jean Johnson	officer: VP Accounting and Controller	623 RAILROAD STREET, PO BOX 1231, MADISON WI 53701-1231
Jared Joseph Bushek	officer: VP Finance, CIO & Treasurer	623 RAILROAD STREET, PO BOX 1231, MADISON WI 53701-1231
Marcia M Anderson	director	133 S BLAIR STREET, PO BOX 1231, MADISON WI 53701-1231
Jeffrey M Keebler	officer: Sr. VP-Energy Supply & Plan	133 S BLAIR ST, PO BOX 1231, MADISON WI 53701-1231
Regina M Millner	director	133 SOUTH BLAIR ST, P.O. BOX 1231, MADISON WI 53701-1231
Donald D Peterson	officer: VP - Energy Technology	133 S. BLAIR ST, PO BOX 1231, MADISON WI 53701-1231
Thomas R Stolper	director	133 SOUTH BLAIR STREET, POST OFFICE BOX 1231, MADISON WI 53701-1231