GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Transportation » Old Dominion Freight Line Inc (NAS:ODFL) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

Old Dominion Freight Line (Old Dominion Freight Line) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: USD58.58 (As of Today)
View and export this data going back to 1991. Start your Free Trial

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-16), Old Dominion Freight Line's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is USD58.58. The stock price of Old Dominion Freight Line is USD219.62. Therefore, Old Dominion Freight Line's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 3.8.

The historical rank and industry rank for Old Dominion Freight Line's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ODFL' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.45   Med: 3.22   Max: 5.55
Current: 3.77

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Old Dominion Freight Line was 5.55. The lowest was 2.45. And the median was 3.22.

ODFL's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
90.71% of 700 companies
in the Transportation industry
Industry Median: 0.83 vs ODFL: 3.77

Old Dominion Freight Line Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Old Dominion Freight Line's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Old Dominion Freight Line Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 22.84 30.68 39.14 48.98 58.58

Old Dominion Freight Line Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 48.98 50.48 50.89 54.73 58.58

Competitive Comparison

For the Trucking subindustry, Old Dominion Freight Line's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Old Dominion Freight Line Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Old Dominion Freight Line's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Old Dominion Freight Line's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Old Dominion Freight Line Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Old Dominion Freight Line's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = USD635.22.

Old Dominion Freight Line's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*635.2184+4257.811*0.8)/219.318
=58.58

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Old Dominion Freight Line  (NAS:ODFL) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Old Dominion Freight Line's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=219.62/58.578318494766
=3.75

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Old Dominion Freight Line Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Old Dominion Freight Line's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Old Dominion Freight Line (Old Dominion Freight Line) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
500 Old Dominion Way, Thomasville, NC, USA, 27360
Old Dominion Freight Line is the second-largest less than truckload carrier in the United States, with more than 250 service centers and 11,000-plus tractors. It is one of the most disciplined and efficient providers in the trucking industry, and its profitability and capital returns stand head and shoulders above its peers. Strategic initiatives revolve around increasing network density through market share gains and maintaining industry-leading service via steadfast infrastructure investment.
Executives
David S Congdon director, 10 percent owner, officer: President and COO C/O OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE, INC., 500 OLD DOMINION WAY, THOMASVILLE NC 27360
Stith Thomas A. Iii director 500 OLD DOMINION WAY, THOMASVILLE NC 27360
Steven W. Hartsell officer: SVP - Sales 500 OLD DOMINION WAY, THOMASVILLE NC 27360
Andrew Stephen Davis director 500 OLD DOMINION WAY, THOMASVILLE NC 27360
Christopher James Kelley officer: SVP - Operations 500 OLD DOMINION WAY, THOMASVILLE NC 27360
Bradley R Gabosch director 500 OLD DOMINION WAY, THOMASVILLE NC 27360
David J. Bates officer: SVP - Operations C/O XPO, INC., FIVE AMERICAN LANE, GREENWICH CT 06831
Leo H Suggs director UNION PACIFIC CORP, 1416 DODGE ST, OMAHA NE 68179
D. Michael Wray director 7205 PINETREE ROAD, RICHMOND VA 23229
Gregory B Plemmons officer: SVP - Sales 500 OLD DOMINION WAY, THOMASVILLE NC 27360
Wendy T. Stallings director 500 OLD DOMINION WAY, THOMASVILLE NC 27360
Earl E Congdon director, officer: Chairman of the Board and CEO C/O OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE, INC., 500 OLD DOMINION WAY, THOMASVILLE NC 27360
Sherry A Aaholm director 500 JACKSON STREET, COLUMBUS IN 47201
Christopher T Brooks officer: SVP - Human Resources & Safety 500 OLD DOMINION WAY, THOMASVILLE NC 27360
Kimberly S Maready officer: VP - Accounting & Fin. (PAO) 500 OLD DOMINION WAY, THOMASVILLE NC 27360