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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2024-04-23), National Bank Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $54.05. The stock price of National Bank Holdings is $34.80. Therefore, National Bank Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.6.
The historical rank and industry rank for National Bank Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of National Bank Holdings was 24.91. The lowest was 0.63. And the median was 1.27.
The historical data trend for National Bank Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
National Bank Holdings Annual Data | |||||||||||||||||||||
Trend | Dec14 | Dec15 | Dec16 | Dec17 | Dec18 | Dec19 | Dec20 | Dec21 | Dec22 | Dec23 | |||||||||||
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | 26.99 | 26.37 | 40.97 | 47.94 | 54.05 |
National Bank Holdings Quarterly Data | ||||||||||||||||||||
Mar19 | Jun19 | Sep19 | Dec19 | Mar20 | Jun20 | Sep20 | Dec20 | Mar21 | Jun21 | Sep21 | Dec21 | Mar22 | Jun22 | Sep22 | Dec22 | Mar23 | Jun23 | Sep23 | Dec23 | |
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | 47.94 | 48.93 | 51.31 | 52.47 | 54.05 |
For the Banks - Regional subindustry, National Bank Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, National Bank Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where National Bank Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get National Bank Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $100.73.
National Bank Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | = | (Growth Multiple | * | Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) | + | Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23) | * | 0.8) | / | Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) |
= | (10.844211261935 | * | 100.73248 | + | 1212.807 | * | 0.8) | / | 38.163 | |
= | 54.05 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
National Bank Holdings (NYSE:NBHC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
National Bank Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF | = | Share Price | / | Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF |
= | 34.80 | / | 54.047372954396 | |
= | 0.64 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of National Bank Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Christopher S. Randall | officer: EVP, Comm. & Specialty Banking | 7800 EAST ORCHARD ROAD, SUITE 300, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111 |
G. Timothy Laney | director, officer: Chief Executive Officer | 5570 DTC PARKWAY, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111 |
Robert E Dean | director | 5570 DTC PARKWAY, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111 |
Brendan W Zahl | officer: EVP NBH Residential Banking | 7800 EAST ORCHARD ROAD, SUITE 300, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111 |
Newfield Richard U Jr. | officer: Chief Risk Mngmt Officer | 5570 DTC PARKWAY, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111 |
Alka Gupta | director | 2828 N. HARWOOD STREET, 15TH FLOOR, DALLAS TX 75201 |
Warren Burney S. Iii | director | 5570 DTC PARKWAY, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111 |
Maria F Spring | director | 5570 DTC PARKWAY, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111 |
Angela Nicole Petrucci | officer: Chief Admin Officer | NATIONAL BANK HOLDINGS CORPORATION, 7800 EAST ORCHARD ROAD, SUITE 300, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111 |
Whitney A. Bartelli | officer: Chief Marketing Officer | 7800 EAST ORCHARD ROAD, SUITE 300, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111 |
Patrick G. Sobers | officer: EVP, Consumer & Smll Bus. Bnkg | 7800 EAST ORCHARD ROAD, SUITE 300, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111 |
Ruth Stevenson | officer: Chief Client Executive | 7800 EAST ORCHARD ROAD, SUITE 300, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111 |
Zsolt K Bessko | officer: Chief Admin Officer | 1331 SEVENTEENTH STREET, STE. 300, DENVER CO 80202 |
Aldis Birkans | officer: Chief Financial Officer | 5570 DTC PARKWAY, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111 |
Denabeele Nicole Van | officer: Chief Accounting Officer | 7800 EAST ORCHARD ROAD, SUITE 300, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111 |
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