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National Bank Holdings (National Bank Holdings) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $54.05 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-23), National Bank Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $54.05. The stock price of National Bank Holdings is $34.80. Therefore, National Bank Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for National Bank Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

NBHC' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.63   Med: 1.27   Max: 24.91
Current: 0.64

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of National Bank Holdings was 24.91. The lowest was 0.63. And the median was 1.27.

NBHC's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
72.19% of 1219 companies
in the Banks industry
Industry Median: 0.44 vs NBHC: 0.64

National Bank Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for National Bank Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

National Bank Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 26.99 26.37 40.97 47.94 54.05

National Bank Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 47.94 48.93 51.31 52.47 54.05

Competitive Comparison

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, National Bank Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


National Bank Holdings Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, National Bank Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where National Bank Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



National Bank Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get National Bank Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $100.73.

National Bank Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(10.844211261935*100.73248+1212.807*0.8)/38.163
=54.05

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


National Bank Holdings  (NYSE:NBHC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

National Bank Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=34.80/54.047372954396
=0.64

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


National Bank Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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National Bank Holdings (National Bank Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
7800 East Orchard Road, Suite 300, Greenwood Village, CO, USA, 80111
National Bank Holdings Corp is a bank holding company. It provides various banking products and financial services to commercial, business, and consumer clients in the United States. The company offers deposit products including checking accounts, savings accounts, money market accounts, and other deposit accounts, including fixed-rate and fixed-maturity time deposits. It also provides commercial and industrial loans and leases. In addition, it offers treasury management solutions comprising online and mobile banking, commercial credit card, wire transfer, automated clearing house, and electronic bill payments.
Executives
Christopher S. Randall officer: EVP, Comm. & Specialty Banking 7800 EAST ORCHARD ROAD, SUITE 300, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111
G. Timothy Laney director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 5570 DTC PARKWAY, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111
Robert E Dean director 5570 DTC PARKWAY, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111
Brendan W Zahl officer: EVP NBH Residential Banking 7800 EAST ORCHARD ROAD, SUITE 300, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111
Newfield Richard U Jr. officer: Chief Risk Mngmt Officer 5570 DTC PARKWAY, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111
Alka Gupta director 2828 N. HARWOOD STREET, 15TH FLOOR, DALLAS TX 75201
Warren Burney S. Iii director 5570 DTC PARKWAY, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111
Maria F Spring director 5570 DTC PARKWAY, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111
Angela Nicole Petrucci officer: Chief Admin Officer NATIONAL BANK HOLDINGS CORPORATION, 7800 EAST ORCHARD ROAD, SUITE 300, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111
Whitney A. Bartelli officer: Chief Marketing Officer 7800 EAST ORCHARD ROAD, SUITE 300, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111
Patrick G. Sobers officer: EVP, Consumer & Smll Bus. Bnkg 7800 EAST ORCHARD ROAD, SUITE 300, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111
Ruth Stevenson officer: Chief Client Executive 7800 EAST ORCHARD ROAD, SUITE 300, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111
Zsolt K Bessko officer: Chief Admin Officer 1331 SEVENTEENTH STREET, STE. 300, DENVER CO 80202
Aldis Birkans officer: Chief Financial Officer 5570 DTC PARKWAY, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111
Denabeele Nicole Van officer: Chief Accounting Officer 7800 EAST ORCHARD ROAD, SUITE 300, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111