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Nielsen Holdings PLC (NYSE:NLSN)
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
$22.70 (As of Today)

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today, Nielsen Holdings PLC's projected FCF intrinsic value is $22.70. The stock price of Nielsen Holdings PLC is $53.72. Therefore, Nielsen Holdings PLC's Price to Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Ratio of today is 2.4.

NLSN' s Price to Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.1   Max: 2.32
Current: 2.37

2.1
2.32

During the past 8 years, the highest Price to Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Ratio of Nielsen Holdings PLC was 2.32. The lowest was 2.10. And the median was 2.18.

NLSN's Price to Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ranked lower than
76% of the 366 Companies
in the Global Business Services industry.

( Industry Median: 1.46 vs. NLSN: 2.37 )

Definition

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of total equity.

Value = ((Growth Multiple)*Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) + 0.8*Total Equity(most recent))/Shares Outstanding

In the case of negative total equity, the following formula is used (see the Total Equity section for the reason):

Value = ((Growth Multiple)*Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) + Total Equity(most recent)/0.8)/Shares Outstanding


Here Nielsen Holdings PLC's FCF(6 year avg) is calculate as

Nielsen Holdings PLC Quarterly Data

201312201403201406201409201412201503201506201509201512201603
total_freecashflow 20113116289263-1128345299-22
201106201109201112201203201206201209201212201303201306201309
total_freecashflow 32198148-8546258207-16106236
201006201009201012201103
total_freecashflow 6585141-104

Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Nielsen Holdings PLC's FCF(6 year avg) = $491.33.

Nielsen Holdings PLC's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow(6 year avg)+Total Equity(Mar16)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding
=(9.52035159596*491.333333333+4516*0.8)/365.201
=22.70

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.


Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy medium after taking the above ideas into consideration. Learn more here.

Nielsen Holdings PLC's Price to Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=53.72/22.7011045538
=2.37

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.


Related Terms

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based), Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), Free Cash Flow


Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

Nielsen Holdings PLC Annual Data

Dec08Dec09Dec10Dec11Dec12Dec13Dec14Dec15
Projected FCF 0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0020.2321.91

Nielsen Holdings PLC Quarterly Data

Dec13Mar14Jun14Sep14Dec14Mar15Jun15Sep15Dec15Mar16
Projected FCF 0.000.000.0020.2320.2320.5120.5221.2021.9122.70
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