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NorthWestern Energy Group (NorthWestern Energy Group) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $23.06 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-18), NorthWestern Energy Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $23.06. The stock price of NorthWestern Energy Group is $48.93. Therefore, NorthWestern Energy Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.1.

The historical rank and industry rank for NorthWestern Energy Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

NWE' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.66   Med: 1.99   Max: 2.36
Current: 2.12

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of NorthWestern Energy Group was 2.36. The lowest was 1.66. And the median was 1.99.

NWE's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
74.12% of 371 companies
in the Utilities - Regulated industry
Industry Median: 1.03 vs NWE: 2.12

NorthWestern Energy Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for NorthWestern Energy Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

NorthWestern Energy Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 35.52 35.10 29.60 25.86 23.06

NorthWestern Energy Group Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 25.86 29.07 25.08 26.40 23.06

Competitive Comparison

For the Utilities - Diversified subindustry, NorthWestern Energy Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


NorthWestern Energy Group Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, NorthWestern Energy Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where NorthWestern Energy Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



NorthWestern Energy Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get NorthWestern Energy Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-85.55.

NorthWestern Energy Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-85.55008+2785.314*0.8)/61.305
=23.06

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


NorthWestern Energy Group  (NAS:NWE) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

NorthWestern Energy Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=48.93/23.061485349271
=2.12

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


NorthWestern Energy Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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NorthWestern Energy Group (NorthWestern Energy Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
3010 West 69th Street, Sioux Falls, SD, USA, 57108
NorthWestern Energy Group Inc provides electricity and natural gas services in the Upper Midwest and Northwest of the U.S. in the states of Montana, South Dakota, Nebraska, and Yellowstone National Park. The company's primary segments include Electric utility operations, which include the generation, purchase, transmission, and distribution of electricity, and Natural Gas utility operations, which include the production, purchase, transmission, storage, and distribution of natural gas. The company uses thermal, wind, hydro, or renewable energy in varying quantities, depending on the location of the facilities, to generate power. The company derives the majority of retail electric utility revenue from commercial and residential sales.
Executives
Bleau Lafave officer: VP Asset Mgmt & Bus Dvlpmt 3010 W. 69TH STREET, SIOUX FALLS SD 57108
Sherina M. Edwards director 1201 NETWORK CENTRE DRIVE, EFFINGHAM IL 62401
Jan Robert Horsfall director
Britt E Ide director 345 BOBWHITE COURT, SUITE 200, BOISE ID 83706
Cynthia Fang officer: Vice President - Regulatory 208 N. MONTANA AVE., SUITE 200, HELENA MT 59601
Shannon Heim officer: Vice President and GC 208 N. MONTANA AVE., SUITE 200, HELENA MT 59601
Bobbi L Schroeppel officer: VP Cust. Care & Communications 125 S. DAKOTA AVENUE, SIOUX FALLS SD 57104
Brian B Bird officer: VP, CFO & Treasurer 125 S DAKOTA AVE, SIOUX FALLS SD 57104
Michael R Cashell officer: Vice President - Transmission 40 EAST BROADWAY STREET, BUTTE MT 59701
Robert C Rowe director, officer: President & CEO 3010 WEST 69TH STREET, SIOUX FALLS SD 57108
Jason Merkel officer: VP - Distribution 1313 NORTH LAST CHANCE GULCH, HELENA MT 59601
Kent T Larson director 3010 W. 69TH STREET, SIOUX FALLS SD 57108
Curtis T Pohl officer: Vice President - Distribution 125 S. DAKOTA AVENUE, SIOUX FALLS SD 57104
Anthony Thomas Clark director 3010 W 69TH STREET, SIOUX FALLS SD 57108
H. Grahame Heather officer: VP & General Counsel 209 N. MONTANA AVENUE, SUITE 205, HELENA MT 59601