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Empire State Realty Trust (Empire State Realty Trust) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $10.78 (As of Apr. 24, 2024)


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What is Empire State Realty Trust Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-24), Empire State Realty Trust's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $10.78. The stock price of Empire State Realty Trust is $9.36. Therefore, Empire State Realty Trust's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.9.

The historical rank and industry rank for Empire State Realty Trust's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ESRT' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.63   Med: 1.53   Max: 6.32
Current: 0.87

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Empire State Realty Trust was 6.32. The lowest was 0.63. And the median was 1.53.

ESRT's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
67.94% of 549 companies
in the REITs industry
Industry Median: 0.66 vs ESRT: 0.87

Empire State Realty Trust Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Empire State Realty Trust's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Empire State Realty Trust Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Empire State Realty Trust Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 9.11 10.38 10.39 10.65 10.78

Empire State Realty Trust Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 10.65 10.98 10.84 11.16 10.78

Competitive Comparison of Empire State Realty Trust's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the REIT - Diversified subindustry, Empire State Realty Trust's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Empire State Realty Trust's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Empire State Realty Trust's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Empire State Realty Trust's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Empire State Realty Trust Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Empire State Realty Trust's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $219.11.

Empire State Realty Trust's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*219.10752+985.518*0.8)/266.725
=10.78

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Empire State Realty Trust  (NYSE:ESRT) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Empire State Realty Trust's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=9.36/10.776623967457
=0.87

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Empire State Realty Trust Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Empire State Realty Trust (Empire State Realty Trust) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
111 West 33rd Street, 12th Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10120
Empire State Realty Trust operates as a pure-play greater New York and Manhattan-focused REIT, featuring its landmark Empire State Building office and observation deck. The company owns and operates around 9.4 million square feet of office space, about 80% of which is located in Manhattan.
Executives
Hannah Y Yang director C/O EMPIRE STATE REALTY TRUST, INC., 111 WEST 33RD STREET, 12TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10120
Tassell Christina Van director C/O 111 RIVER STREET, HOBOKEN NJ 07030
Stephen Horn officer: Chief Accounting Officer 255 WEST 94TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10025
Grant Hill director 121 ORANGE AVE, SUITE 1500, ORLANDO FL 32801
Robert Paige Hood director C/O EMPIRE STATE REALTY TRUST, INC., 111 WEST 33RD STREET, 12TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10120
Christina Chiu officer: EVP and CFO C/O EMPIRE STATE REALTY TRUST, INC., 111 WEST 33RD STREET, 12TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10120
Patricia Han director 600 OFFICE CENTER DRIVE, FORT WASHINGTON PA 19034
David A Karp director, officer: EVP and CFO C/O EMPIRE STATE REALTY TRUST, INC., 111 WEST 33RD STREET, NEW YORK NY 10120
Quark Holding Llc 10 percent owner P.O. BOX 23224 OOREDOO TOWER, DIPLOMATIC AREA STREET, WEST BAY, DOHA S3 S3
Thomas J Derosa director C/O WELLTOWER INC., 4500 DORR STREET, TOLEDO OH 43615
Salvatore Michael Giliberto director C/O EMPIRE STATE REALTY TRUST, INC., 111 WEST 33RD STREET, 12TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10120
Steven J Gilbert director 540 MADISON AVE, 40TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10022
Robinson James D Iv director 130 EAST 59TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10022
William H Berkman director 650 MADISON AVE, 25TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10022
Leslie D. Biddle director 111 WEST 33RD STREET 12TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10120