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Fortuna Silver Mines (Fortuna Silver Mines) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $2.40 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-24), Fortuna Silver Mines's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $2.40. The stock price of Fortuna Silver Mines is $4.66. Therefore, Fortuna Silver Mines's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.9.

The historical rank and industry rank for Fortuna Silver Mines's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

FSM' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.08   Med: 1.79   Max: 4.93
Current: 1.94

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Fortuna Silver Mines was 4.93. The lowest was 1.08. And the median was 1.79.

FSM's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
61.95% of 594 companies
in the Metals & Mining industry
Industry Median: 1.31 vs FSM: 1.94

Fortuna Silver Mines Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Fortuna Silver Mines's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Fortuna Silver Mines Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.00 1.97 2.70 2.41 2.48

Fortuna Silver Mines Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.41 2.23 2.01 2.55 2.48

Competitive Comparison

For the Gold subindustry, Fortuna Silver Mines's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Fortuna Silver Mines Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Fortuna Silver Mines's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Fortuna Silver Mines's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Fortuna Silver Mines Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Fortuna Silver Mines's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-19.89.

Fortuna Silver Mines's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(12.100819886097*-19.89072+1238.367*0.8)/306.638
=2.45

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Fortuna Silver Mines  (NYSE:FSM) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Fortuna Silver Mines's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=4.66/2.4458794404973
=1.91

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Fortuna Silver Mines Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Fortuna Silver Mines (Fortuna Silver Mines) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
200 Burrard Street, Suite 650, Vancouver, BC, CAN, V6C 3L6
Fortuna Silver Mines Inc is engaged in precious and base metal mining and related activities in Argentina, Burkina Faso, Mexico, Peru, and Cote d'Ivoire. The company operates the open pit Lindero gold mine in northern Argentina, the underground Yaramoko mine in southwestern Burkina Faso, the underground San Jose silver and gold mine in southern Mexico, the underground Caylloma silver, lead, and zinc mine in southern Peru, and is developing the open pit Seguela gold mine in southwestern Cote d'Ivoire. The company earns revenue from contracts with customers related to its concentrate and dore sales.