GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Drug Manufacturers » Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

Johnson & Johnson (Johnson & Johnson) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $96.70 (As of Today)
View and export this data going back to 1944. Start your Free Trial

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-16), Johnson & Johnson's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $96.70. The stock price of Johnson & Johnson is $145.40. Therefore, Johnson & Johnson's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for Johnson & Johnson's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

JNJ' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.49   Med: 1.81   Max: 1.94
Current: 1.51

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Johnson & Johnson was 1.94. The lowest was 1.49. And the median was 1.81.

JNJ's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
50.59% of 597 companies
in the Drug Manufacturers industry
Industry Median: 1.5 vs JNJ: 1.51

Johnson & Johnson Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Johnson & Johnson's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Johnson & Johnson Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 77.97 83.25 87.96 91.43 96.70

Johnson & Johnson Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 91.43 89.43 90.46 92.78 96.70

Competitive Comparison

For the Drug Manufacturers - General subindustry, Johnson & Johnson's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Johnson & Johnson Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Johnson & Johnson's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Johnson & Johnson's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Johnson & Johnson Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Johnson & Johnson's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $18,915.84.

Johnson & Johnson's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*18915.84+68774*0.8)/2431.400
=96.70

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Johnson & Johnson  (NYSE:JNJ) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Johnson & Johnson's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=145.40/96.695174604349
=1.50

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Johnson & Johnson Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Johnson & Johnson's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Johnson & Johnson (Johnson & Johnson) Business Description

Address
One Johnson and Johnson Plaza, New Brunswick, NJ, USA, 08933
Johnson & Johnson is the world's largest and most diverse healthcare firm. Three divisions make up the firm: pharmaceutical, medical devices and diagnostics, and consumer. The drug and device groups represent close to 80% of sales and drive the majority of cash flows for the firm. The drug division focuses on the following therapeutic areas: immunology, oncology, neurology, pulmonary, cardiology, and metabolic diseases. The device segment focuses on orthopedics, surgery tools, vision care, and a few smaller areas. The last segment of consumer focuses on baby care, beauty, oral care, over-the-counter drugs, and women's health. The consumer group is being divested in 2023 under the new name Kenvue. Geographically, just over half of total revenue is generated in the United States.
Executives
Timothy Schmid officer: EVP, WW Chair, MedTech ONE JOHNSON & JOHNSON PLAZA, NEW BRUNSWICK NJ 08933
William Hait officer: See Remarks ONE JOHNSON & JOHNSON PLAZA, NEW BRUNSWICK NJ 08933
Peter Fasolo officer: VP, Worldwide Human Resources JOHNSON & JOHNSON, ONE JOHNSON & JOHNSON PLAZA, NEW BRUNSWICK NJ 08933
Kathryn E Wengel officer: EVP, Chief GSC Officer JOHNSON & JOHNSON, ONE JOHNSON & JOHNSON PLAZA, NEW BRUNSWICK NJ 08933
John C Reed officer: EVP, Pharmaceuticals R&D ONE JOHNSON & JOHNSON PLAZA, WHQ 2134, NEW BRUNSWICK NJ 08933
James D. Swanson officer: EVP, Chief Information Officer ONE JOHNSON & JOHNSON PLAZA, NEW BRUNSWICK NJ 08933
Paula A Johnson director 22 CHERRY HILL DRIVE, DANVERS MA 01923
Joseph J Wolk officer: Exec VP, CFO JOHNSON & JOHNSON, ONE JOHNSON & JOHNSON PLAZA, NEW BRUNSWICK NJ 08933
Ashley Mcevoy officer: EVP, WW Chair, Medical Devices JOHNSON & JOHNSON, ONE JOHNSON & JOHNSON PLAZA, NEW BRUNSWICK NJ 08933
Jennifer L Taubert officer: EVP, WW Chair, Pharmaceuticals JOHNSON & JOHNSON, ONE JOHNSON & JOHNSON PLAZA, NEW BRUNSWICK NJ 08933
Robert J Decker officer: Controller, CAO ONE JOHNSON & JOHNSON PLAZA, NEW BRUNSWICK NJ 08933
Thibaut Mongon officer: Exec VP, WW Chair, Consumer JOHNSON & JOHNSON, ONE JOHNSON & JOHNSON PLAZA, NEW BRUNSWICK NJ 08933
Elizabeth Forminard officer: Executive VP, General Counsel ONE JOHNSON & JOHNSON PLAZA, NEW BRUNSWICK NJ 08933
Darius Adamczyk director 855 S. MINT STREET, CHARLOTTE NC 28202
Vanessa Broadhurst officer: EVP, Global Corp Aff. ONE JOHNSON & JOHNSON PLAZA, NEW BRUNSWICK NJ 08933

Johnson & Johnson (Johnson & Johnson) Headlines

From GuruFocus

Q2 2023 Johnson & Johnson Earnings Call Transcript

By GuruFocus Research 01-23-2024

Q2 2022 Johnson & Johnson Earnings Call Transcript

By GuruFocus Research 01-23-2024

Q4 2022 Johnson & Johnson Earnings Call Transcript

By GuruFocus Research 01-23-2024

Q3 2022 Johnson & Johnson Earnings Call Transcript

By GuruFocus Research 01-23-2024