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Lockheed Martin (Lockheed Martin) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $281.26 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-18), Lockheed Martin's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $281.26. The stock price of Lockheed Martin is $456.05. Therefore, Lockheed Martin's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for Lockheed Martin's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

LMT' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.25   Med: 1.86   Max: 2.69
Current: 1.62

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Lockheed Martin was 2.69. The lowest was 1.25. And the median was 1.86.

LMT's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
57.83% of 166 companies
in the Aerospace & Defense industry
Industry Median: 1.805 vs LMT: 1.62

Lockheed Martin Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Lockheed Martin's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Lockheed Martin Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 208.03 246.56 285.42 272.17 281.26

Lockheed Martin Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 272.17 280.92 268.31 281.12 281.26

Competitive Comparison

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, Lockheed Martin's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Lockheed Martin Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, Lockheed Martin's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lockheed Martin's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Lockheed Martin Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Lockheed Martin's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $5,627.04.

Lockheed Martin's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(11.29937129898*5627.04+6835*0.8)/245.500
=281.26

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Lockheed Martin  (NYSE:LMT) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Lockheed Martin's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=456.05/281.26278726767
=1.62

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Lockheed Martin Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Lockheed Martin (Lockheed Martin) Business Description

Address
6801 Rockledge Drive, Bethesda, MD, USA, 20817
Lockheed Martin is the world's largest defense contractor and has dominated the Western market for high-end fighter aircraft since it won the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter program in 2001. Lockheed's largest segment is aeronautics, which derives upward of two-thirds of its revenue from the F-35. Lockheed's remaining segments are rotary and mission systems, which is mainly the Sikorsky helicopter business; missiles and fire control, which creates missiles and missile defense systems; and space systems, which produces satellites and receives equity income from the United Launch Alliance joint venture.
Executives
John Donovan director 208 S. AKARD ST. , ROOM 3025, DALLAS TX 75202
Stephanie C. Hill officer: Executive Vice President 55 WATER STREET, NEW YORK NY 10041
Timothy S Cahill officer: Executive Vice President 6802 ROCKLEDGE DRIVE, BETHESDA MD 20817
St John Frank A officer: Executive Vice President 6801 ROCKLEDGE DRIVE, BETHESDA MD 20817
Gregory M Ulmer officer: Acting Executive Vice Pres. 6801 ROCKLEDGE DRIVE, BETHESDA MD 20817
Vincent R. Stewart director C/O AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION, INC., 111 WEST CONGRESS STREET, CHARLES TOWN WV 25414
Paul Harry Edward Iii officer: Vice President & Controller 6801 ROCKLEDGE DRIVE, BETHESDA MD 20817
Evan T Scott officer: Vice President & Treasurer 6801 ROCKLEDGE DRIVE, BETHESDA MD 20817
John W Mollard officer: Vice President & Treasurer 6801 ROCKLEDGE DRIVE, BETHESDA MD 20817
Brian P Colan officer: VP & Controller 6801 ROCKLEDGE DR, BETHESDA MD 20817
Maryanne Lavan officer: SVP & General Counsel 6801 ROCKLEDGE DRIVE, BETHESDA MD 20817
Jesus Jr Malave officer: Chief Financial Officer L3HARRIS TECHNOLOGIES INC, 1025 WEST NASA BOULEVARD, MELBOURNE FL 32919
Lightfoot Robert M Jr officer: Executive Vice President 6801 ROCKLEDGE DR, BETHESDA MD 20817
Patricia E Yarrington director 6001 BOLLINGER CANYON ROAD, SAN RAMON CA 94583
Kenneth R Possenriede officer: Vice President & Treasurer 6801 ROCKLEDGE DRIVE, BETHESDA MD 20817