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JM Smucker Co (JM Smucker Co) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $134.75 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is JM Smucker Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-25), JM Smucker Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $134.75. The stock price of JM Smucker Co is $118.55. Therefore, JM Smucker Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.9.

The historical rank and industry rank for JM Smucker Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

SJM' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.78   Med: 0.98   Max: 1.48
Current: 0.88

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of JM Smucker Co was 1.48. The lowest was 0.78. And the median was 0.98.

SJM's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
62.09% of 1224 companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 1.12 vs SJM: 0.88

JM Smucker Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for JM Smucker Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

JM Smucker Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

JM Smucker Co Annual Data
Trend Apr14 Apr15 Apr16 Apr17 Apr18 Apr19 Apr20 Apr21 Apr22 Apr23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 123.96 130.20 144.41 140.44 135.51

JM Smucker Co Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 143.61 135.51 135.28 133.27 134.75

Competitive Comparison of JM Smucker Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, JM Smucker Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


JM Smucker Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, JM Smucker Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where JM Smucker Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



JM Smucker Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get JM Smucker Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $863.66.

JM Smucker Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jan24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*863.664+7560.1*0.8)/105.900
=134.75

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


JM Smucker Co  (NYSE:SJM) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

JM Smucker Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=118.55/134.75415430385
=0.88

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


JM Smucker Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of JM Smucker Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


JM Smucker Co (JM Smucker Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
One Strawberry Lane, Orrville, OH, USA, 44667-0280
J.M. Smucker is a packaged food company that primarily sells through the U.S. retail channel (77% of forecast fiscal 2024 revenue), with the remaining share consisting of Hostess, foodservice, and international (primarily Canada). Following the divestiture of several pet foods brands and private-label products that constituted about $1.5 billion of sales, retail coffee is now its largest category (33% of sales) with brands Folgers and Dunkin'. Pet foods (22% of sales) holds leading brands like Milk-Bone and Meow Mix. Of its remaining, approximately 22% comes from consumer foods, primarily peanut butter and jelly, through brands Jif and Smucker's. The company acquired Hostess Brands in fiscal 2024 to boost its snack and convenience store presence.
Executives
Tucker H Marshall officer: Chief Financial Officer ONE STRAWBERRY LANE, ORRVILLE OH 44667
Tarang Amin director C/O SCHIFF NUTRITION INTERNATIONAL, INC., 2002 SOUTH 5070 WEST, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84104
Amy C Held officer: Chief Strategy & Int'l Officer ONE STRAWBERRY LANE, ORRVILLE OH 44667
Mercedes Abramo director ONE STRAWBERRY LANE, ORRVILLE OH 44667
Richard K Smucker director, officer: President C/ WM WRIGLEY JR CO, 410 N MICHIGAN AVE, CHICAGO IL 60611
Mark T Smucker officer: Vice President
Jill R Penrose officer: Chief People & Admin Officer ONE STRAWBERRY LANE, ORRVILLE OH 44667
John P Brase officer: Chief Operating Officer ONE STRAWBERRY LANE, ORRVILLE OH 44667
Jeannette L Knudsen officer: Chief Legal & Compliance Offic ONE STRAWBERRY LANE, ORRVILLE OH 44667
Geoff E Tanner officer: Chief Marketing & Commercial ONE STRAWBERRY LANE, ORRVILLE OH 44667
Johnson Jonathan E Iii director 6322 S 300 S, STE 100, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84121
Nancy Lopez Knight director 2308 TARA DRIVE, ALBANY GA 31721
Jay L Henderson director 50 SOUTH LASALLE ST, CHICAGO IL 60603
Dawn C Willoughby director 1221 BROADWAY, OAKLAND CA 94612
Sandra Pianalto director 1000 EATON BOULEVARD, CLEVELAND OH 44122

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