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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2024-04-25), The Timken Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $83.45. The stock price of The Timken Co is $86.02. Therefore, The Timken Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.0.
The historical rank and industry rank for The Timken Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of The Timken Co was 1.24. The lowest was 0.70. And the median was 0.95.
The historical data trend for The Timken Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
The Timken Co Annual Data | |||||||||||||||||||||
Trend | Dec14 | Dec15 | Dec16 | Dec17 | Dec18 | Dec19 | Dec20 | Dec21 | Dec22 | Dec23 | |||||||||||
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | 55.52 | 62.61 | 72.84 | 80.09 | 83.45 |
The Timken Co Quarterly Data | ||||||||||||||||||||
Mar19 | Jun19 | Sep19 | Dec19 | Mar20 | Jun20 | Sep20 | Dec20 | Mar21 | Jun21 | Sep21 | Dec21 | Mar22 | Jun22 | Sep22 | Dec22 | Mar23 | Jun23 | Sep23 | Dec23 | |
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | 80.09 | 75.54 | 79.99 | 82.31 | 83.45 |
For the Tools & Accessories subindustry, The Timken Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, The Timken Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where The Timken Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get The Timken Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $323.02.
The Timken Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | = | (Growth Multiple | * | Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) | + | Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23) | * | 0.8) | / | Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) |
= | (11.936106726364 | * | 323.024 | + | 2582.4 | * | 0.8) | / | 70.957 | |
= | 83.45 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
The Timken Co (NYSE:TKR) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
The Timken Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF | = | Share Price | / | Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF |
= | 86.02 | / | 83.452921335134 | |
= | 1.03 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of The Timken Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Philip D. Fracassa | officer: CFO | 1835 DUEBER AVENUE SW, CANTON OH 44706-0928 |
Christopher A Coughlin | officer: President-proc ind & supp chn | 1835 DUEBER AVE SW, CANTON OH 44706 |
Timken John M Jr | director | 200 MARKET AVE N STE 210, CANTON OH 44702 |
Hansal N. Patel | officer: VP, GC, and Secretary | 4500 MOUNT PLEASANT ST. NW, NORTH CANTON OH 44720 |
Richard G Kyle | officer: President-mob ind & aerospace | 1835 DUEBER AVE SW, CANTON OH 44706 |
Jacqueline F Woods | director | |
Natasha Pollock | officer: VP - Human Resources | 4500 MT. PLEASANT ST. NW, NORTH CANTON OH 44720 |
Landin Bo Hans Olof | officer: Group Vice President | 4500 MT. PLEASANT ST. NW, NORTH CANTON OH 44720 |
Timken Ward J Jr | director, officer: Chairman of the Board | 200 MARKET AVE N STE 210, CANTON OH 44702 |
Ronald J Myers | officer: VP - Human Resources | 4500 MT. PLEASANT ST. NW, NORTH CANTON OH 44720 |
Sarah C Lauber | director | 833 EAST MICHIGAN STREET, SUITE 900, MILWAUKEE WI 53202 |
Shelly Marie Chadwick | officer: Chief Accounting Officer | 6070 PARKLAND BLVD, MAYFIELD HTS. OH 44124 |
Karl Andreas Roellgen | officer: VP - Europe, Asia and Africa | 4500 MT. PLEASANT ST. NW, NORTH CANTON OH 44720 |
Frank C Sullivan | director | |
Elizabeth Ann Harrell | director | 4500 MT. PLEASANT ST. NW, NORTH CANTON OH 44720 |
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