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Absa Group (Absa Group) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $20.56 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-19), Absa Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $20.56. The stock price of Absa Group is $15.07. Therefore, Absa Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.7.

The historical rank and industry rank for Absa Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

AGRPY' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.64   Med: 0.91   Max: 1.25
Current: 0.73

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Absa Group was 1.25. The lowest was 0.64. And the median was 0.91.

AGRPY's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
77.09% of 1222 companies
in the Banks industry
Industry Median: 0.43 vs AGRPY: 0.73

Absa Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Absa Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Absa Group Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 25.84 29.24 25.28 22.29 22.78

Absa Group Semi-Annual Data
Dec13 Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 22.29 - 22.78 -

Competitive Comparison

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Absa Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Absa Group Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Absa Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Absa Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Absa Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Absa Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $262.27.

Absa Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec22)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*262.26628571429+8217.535*0.8)/415.300
=21.84

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Absa Group  (OTCPK:AGRPY) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Absa Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=15.07/21.841789674375
=0.69

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Absa Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Absa Group (Absa Group) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
15 Troye Street, 7th Floor, Absa Towers West, PO Box 7735, Johannesburg, GT, ZAF, 2000
Absa Group Ltd is a financial services company that has five main business segments: Product Solutions Cluster, Everyday Banking, Relationship Banking, Absa Regional Operations RBB (ARO RBB), CIB, & Head Office, Treasury, and other operations. The majority is from the Corporate and Investment Bank (CIB) segment which includes prioritized new-to-bank clients across key growth and priority sectors. CIB continued to up-sell and cross-sell new products and services to existing clients. Geographically, the majority is from South Africa.

Absa Group (Absa Group) Headlines

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