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ANA Holdings (ANA Holdings) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $3.89 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is ANA Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-25), ANA Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $3.89. The stock price of ANA Holdings is $4.01. Therefore, ANA Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for ANA Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ALNPY' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.62   Med: 1.02   Max: 2.6
Current: 1.03

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of ANA Holdings was 2.60. The lowest was 0.62. And the median was 1.02.

ALNPY's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
58.14% of 700 companies
in the Transportation industry
Industry Median: 0.84 vs ALNPY: 1.03

ANA Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for ANA Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

ANA Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

ANA Holdings Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.98 8.06 5.44 4.09 4.47

ANA Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.43 4.47 4.82 4.31 4.15

Competitive Comparison of ANA Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Airlines subindustry, ANA Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


ANA Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, ANA Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where ANA Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



ANA Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get ANA Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $610.48.

ANA Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*610.47824+7040.342*0.8)/2606.484
=4.39

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


ANA Holdings  (OTCPK:ALNPY) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

ANA Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=4.01/4.3906815029311
=0.91

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


ANA Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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ANA Holdings (ANA Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Shiodome-City Center, 1-5-2 Higashi-Shimbashi, Minato-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 105-7140
ANA Holdings is the holding firm of Japan's largest airline, All Nippon Airways. Besides the flagship carrier, ANA also owns discount airline Peach Aviation, Hokkaido-based Air Do, and airfreight carrier Nippon Cargo Airlines. In February 2024, it will launch Air Japan to provide discount airline services to Southeast Asia. Pre-COVID-19, passenger transport made up over 50% of group revenue, split almost equally between domestic and international passenger routes while cargo revenue made up 4%-5%. Its primary hub is Tokyo's Narita International Airport, but it is also expanding routes from Haneda Airport. ANA has minor stakes in Philippine Airlines, Vietnam Airlines, and IHG ANA Hotels Group Japan. The latter is a hotel chain in Japan owned and operated by InterContinental Hotels Group.

ANA Holdings (ANA Holdings) Headlines

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