Aryzta AG (Aryzta AG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $2.20 (As of Apr. 24, 2024)

Aryzta AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Aryzta AG Annual Data
	Trend	Jul13	Jul14	Jul15	Jul16	Jul17	Jul18	Jul19	Jul20	Jul21	Jul22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF		Get a 7-Day Free Trial					7.12	6.19	2.34	2.00	1.72

Aryzta AG Semi-Annual Data
	Jan14	Jul14	Jan15	Jul15	Jan16	Jul16	Jan17	Jul17	Jan18	Jul18	Jan19	Jul19	Jan20	Jul20	Jan21	Jul21	Jan22	Jul22	Jan23	Jul23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF	Get a 7-Day Free Trial															2.00	-	1.72	-	1.76

Competitive Comparison of Aryzta AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Aryzta AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Aryzta AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Aryzta AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.

Aryzta AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Aryzta AG's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $132.80.

Aryzta AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Aryzta AG  (OTCPK:ARZTF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Aryzta AG's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Aryzta AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Aryzta AG (Aryzta AG) Business Description