GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Banks » China Merchants Bank Co Ltd (OTCPK:CIHKY) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

China Merchants Bank Co (China Merchants Bank Co) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $89.28 (As of Today)
View and export this data going back to 2011. Start your Free Trial

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-19), China Merchants Bank Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $89.28. The stock price of China Merchants Bank Co is $20.80. Therefore, China Merchants Bank Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.2.

The historical rank and industry rank for China Merchants Bank Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

CIHKY' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.15   Med: 0.3   Max: 0.69
Current: 0.23

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of China Merchants Bank Co was 0.69. The lowest was 0.15. And the median was 0.30.

CIHKY's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
78.89% of 1222 companies
in the Banks industry
Industry Median: 0.43 vs CIHKY: 0.23

China Merchants Bank Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for China Merchants Bank Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

China Merchants Bank Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 41.93 52.42 55.95 92.88 93.04

China Merchants Bank Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 92.88 86.32 95.28 79.49 93.04

Competitive Comparison

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, China Merchants Bank Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China Merchants Bank Co Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, China Merchants Bank Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China Merchants Bank Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



China Merchants Bank Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get China Merchants Bank Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $35,482.88.

China Merchants Bank Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(12.522615765129*35482.88128+150747.878*0.8)/5441.005
=103.83

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


China Merchants Bank Co  (OTCPK:CIHKY) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

China Merchants Bank Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=20.80/103.82949306408
=0.20

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


China Merchants Bank Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of China Merchants Bank Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


China Merchants Bank Co (China Merchants Bank Co) Business Description

Address
No. 7088, Shennan Boulevard, 19 Floor, China Merchants Bank Building, Futian District, Guangdong Province, Shenzhen, CHN, 518040
China Merchants Bank, with headquarters in Shenzhen, was founded in 1987. The bank is China's seventh-largest listed bank by assets, with the largest distribution network among China's joint-stock banks. CMB's network has been expanding rapidly. Its outlets are located mainly in China's more developed areas, including the Pearl River and Yangtze River deltas. The firm has 18% and 82% of its shares listed on the Hong Kong and Shanghai exchanges, respectively. It has no foreign strategic investors. China Merchants Group is its largest shareholder, with a 30% stake. Retail banking, corporate banking and wholesale banking accounted for 57%, 41%, and 2% of total profit before tax, respectively, and 56%, 41%, and 3% of total revenue in 2022.

China Merchants Bank Co (China Merchants Bank Co) Headlines

From GuruFocus

Matthews China Fund's 2nd-Quarter Commentary

By Sydnee Gatewood 07-20-2021

Matthews China Fund Comments on China Merchants Bank

By Sydnee Gatewood 07-20-2021

3 High-Performing Stocks

By Alberto Abaterusso Alberto Abaterusso 10-03-2019