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Fairfax Financial Holdings (Fairfax Financial Holdings) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $921.68 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-16), Fairfax Financial Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $921.68. The stock price of Fairfax Financial Holdings is $1070.13. Therefore, Fairfax Financial Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.2.

The historical rank and industry rank for Fairfax Financial Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

FRFHF' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.42   Med: 0.87   Max: 1.47
Current: 1.16

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Fairfax Financial Holdings was 1.47. The lowest was 0.42. And the median was 0.87.

FRFHF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
73.86% of 394 companies
in the Insurance industry
Industry Median: 0.65 vs FRFHF: 1.16

Fairfax Financial Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Fairfax Financial Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Fairfax Financial Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 582.67 494.80 1,176.20 1,241.47 956.21

Fairfax Financial Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1,241.47 1,016.44 966.62 958.50 956.21

Competitive Comparison

For the Insurance - Property & Casualty subindustry, Fairfax Financial Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Fairfax Financial Holdings Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Fairfax Financial Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Fairfax Financial Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Fairfax Financial Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Fairfax Financial Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $394.27.

Fairfax Financial Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(11.854592825659*394.272+22950.5*0.8)/23.965
=961.17

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Fairfax Financial Holdings  (OTCPK:FRFHF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Fairfax Financial Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=1070.13/961.1656174654
=1.11

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Fairfax Financial Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Fairfax Financial Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Fairfax Financial Holdings (Fairfax Financial Holdings) Business Description

Address
95 Wellington Street West, Suite 800, Toronto, ON, CAN, M5J 2N7
Fairfax provides reinsurance and property and casualty insurance in Canada, the United States, and other international markets. The company also has some noninsurance operations such as restaurants. Fairfax has been led by Prem Watsa, its chairman and CEO, since its formation in 1985.