GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Conglomerates » Guoco Group Ltd (OTCPK:GULRY) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
中文

Guoco Group (Guoco Group) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $74.91 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2008. Start your Free Trial

What is Guoco Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-25), Guoco Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $74.91. The stock price of Guoco Group is $21.89. Therefore, Guoco Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Guoco Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

GULRY' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.24   Med: 0.41   Max: 32.87
Current: 0.29

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Guoco Group was 32.87. The lowest was 0.24. And the median was 0.41.

GULRY's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
85.36% of 403 companies
in the Conglomerates industry
Industry Median: 0.85 vs GULRY: 0.29

Guoco Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Guoco Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Guoco Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Guoco Group Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 67.44 72.18 65.94 53.79 62.32

Guoco Group Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 53.79 - 62.32 -

Competitive Comparison of Guoco Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Conglomerates subindustry, Guoco Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Guoco Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Conglomerates Industry

For the Conglomerates industry and Industrials sector, Guoco Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Guoco Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Guoco Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Guoco Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $416.03.

Guoco Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*416.03014285714+7578.221*0.8)/162.612
=61.64

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Guoco Group  (OTCPK:GULRY) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Guoco Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=21.89/61.639547109189
=0.36

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Guoco Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Guoco Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Guoco Group (Guoco Group) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
99 Queen's Road Central, 50th Floor, The Center, Hong Kong, HKG
Guoco Group Ltd is a holdings company engaged in investment and financial businesses globally. The company operates in four main segments: principal investment, property development and investment, hospitality and leisure, and financial services. It generates additional revenue from oil and gas production. Principal investment segment covers direct and equity investments, and treasury operations. The property development and investment segment, develops residential and commercial properties in China and Southeast Asia. The main revenue driver, hospitality and leisure segment owns, leases, and manages hotels, and operates gaming businesses in the UK, Spain and Belgium. The financial-services segment includes commercial, consumer and investment banking, as well as insurance services.

Guoco Group (Guoco Group) Headlines