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Hakuhodo DY Holdings (Hakuhodo DY Holdings) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $16.68 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-19), Hakuhodo DY Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $16.68. The stock price of Hakuhodo DY Holdings is $17.90. Therefore, Hakuhodo DY Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.1.

The historical rank and industry rank for Hakuhodo DY Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HKUOY' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.66   Med: 1.14   Max: 1.5
Current: 1.07

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Hakuhodo DY Holdings was 1.50. The lowest was 0.66. And the median was 1.14.

HKUOY's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
58.11% of 604 companies
in the Media - Diversified industry
Industry Median: 0.885 vs HKUOY: 1.07

Hakuhodo DY Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Hakuhodo DY Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Hakuhodo DY Holdings Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 29.95 43.94 26.81 24.22 22.81

Hakuhodo DY Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 22.28 22.81 20.62 20.22 17.99

Competitive Comparison

For the Advertising Agencies subindustry, Hakuhodo DY Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Hakuhodo DY Holdings Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, Hakuhodo DY Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Hakuhodo DY Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Hakuhodo DY Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Hakuhodo DY Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $185.49.

Hakuhodo DY Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*185.48976+2566.899*0.8)/183.553
=20.81

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Hakuhodo DY Holdings  (OTCPK:HKUOY) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Hakuhodo DY Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=17.90/20.808414641281
=0.86

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Hakuhodo DY Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Hakuhodo DY Holdings (Hakuhodo DY Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
5-3-1 Akasaka, Minato-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 107-6320
Hakuhodo DY Holdings Inc is a Japanese holding company that owns advertising companies, integrated media companies, and creative solutions companies. The company earns most of its revenue from its two largest segments, mass media services and marketing promotion. The mass media segments focus on television, newspaper, and magazine advertising. The company's marketing promotion segment focuses on Internet, creative, and promotional services. While the vast majority of the historical company's revenue was derived from Japan, Hakuhodo is expanding internationally through its over 250 subsidiaries around the world.

Hakuhodo DY Holdings (Hakuhodo DY Holdings) Headlines

From GuruFocus

David Herro Comments on Hakuhodo DY Holdings

By Holly LaFon Holly LaFon 04-08-2014