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Orvana Minerals (Orvana Minerals) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $0.13 (As of Apr. 24, 2024)


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What is Orvana Minerals Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-24), Orvana Minerals's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $0.13. The stock price of Orvana Minerals is $0.1426. Therefore, Orvana Minerals's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.1.

The historical rank and industry rank for Orvana Minerals's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ORVMF' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.19   Med: 0.45   Max: 10.25
Current: 1.1

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Orvana Minerals was 10.25. The lowest was 0.19. And the median was 0.45.

ORVMF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
60.17% of 595 companies
in the Metals & Mining industry
Industry Median: 1.3 vs ORVMF: 1.10

Orvana Minerals Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Orvana Minerals's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Orvana Minerals Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Orvana Minerals Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.48 0.45 0.05 0.02 0.27

Orvana Minerals Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.09 0.17 0.25 0.27 0.14

Competitive Comparison of Orvana Minerals's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Other Precious Metals & Mining subindustry, Orvana Minerals's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Orvana Minerals's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Orvana Minerals's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Orvana Minerals's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Orvana Minerals Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Orvana Minerals's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-2.42.

Orvana Minerals's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-2.4168+50.625*0.8)/136.623
=0.13

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Orvana Minerals  (OTCPK:ORVMF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Orvana Minerals's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=0.1426/0.12802540028306
=1.11

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Orvana Minerals Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Orvana Minerals (Orvana Minerals) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
70 York Street, Suite 1710, Toronto, ON, CAN, M5J 1S9
Orvana Minerals Corp is a Canadian mining and exploration company that is involved in the evaluation, development, and mining of precious and base metal deposits. The company predominantly operates in the gold and copper mining industry and its majority of the products are gold dore and gold/copper concentrates. Its properties include El Valle and Carles mines and the El Valle processing plant (collectively, El Valle), producer of copper concentrate and dore, Don Mario Operation and Taguas Property. The company's segments include Orovalle, which operates El Valle Mine in Spain, EMIPA which operates Don Mario Mine in Bolivia, Orvana Argentina and Corporate. Majority of the revenue for the company is generated from its Orovalle segment.