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Orca Energy Group (Orca Energy Group) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $1.47 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is Orca Energy Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-25), Orca Energy Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1.47. The stock price of Orca Energy Group is $2.93. Therefore, Orca Energy Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Orca Energy Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ORXGF' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.7   Med: 1.82   Max: 4.9
Current: 1.99

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Orca Energy Group was 4.90. The lowest was 0.70. And the median was 1.82.

ORXGF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
81.89% of 679 companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 0.84 vs ORXGF: 1.99

Orca Energy Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Orca Energy Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Orca Energy Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Orca Energy Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.54 1.12 1.38 1.75 1.66

Orca Energy Group Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.75 1.96 2.03 1.85 1.66

Competitive Comparison of Orca Energy Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Orca Energy Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Orca Energy Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Orca Energy Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Orca Energy Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Orca Energy Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Orca Energy Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $29.14.

Orca Energy Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*29.13904+88.678*0.8)/19.824
=25.43

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Orca Energy Group  (OTCPK:ORXGF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Orca Energy Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=2.93/25.425032754242
=0.12

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Orca Energy Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Orca Energy Group (Orca Energy Group) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Haile Selassie Road, Oyster Plaza Building, 5th Floor, P.O. Box 80139, Dar es Salaam, TZA
Orca Energy Group Inc produces and sells natural gas to the power and industrial sectors in Tanzania. The company delivers gas to TPDC through a long-term gas sales agreement to the TPDC-operated National Natural Gas Infrastructure on Songo Songo Island where the natural gas is processed before being transported to Dar es Salaam for power and industrial use. In addition to gas supplied to TPDC, Songas, and TANESCO for the generation of power, the company has developed and supplied an industrial gas market in the Dar es Salaam area.

Orca Energy Group (Orca Energy Group) Headlines