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Smiths Group (Smiths Group) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $16.33 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-19), Smiths Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $16.33. The stock price of Smiths Group is $19.88. Therefore, Smiths Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.2.

The historical rank and industry rank for Smiths Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

SMGZY' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.2   Med: 1.37   Max: 1.63
Current: 1.22

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Smiths Group was 1.63. The lowest was 1.20. And the median was 1.37.

SMGZY's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
58.21% of 1893 companies
in the Industrial Products industry
Industry Median: 1.53 vs SMGZY: 1.22

Smiths Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Smiths Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Array ( [0] => - [1] => - [2] => - [3] => - [4] => - [5] => 12.92 [6] => 14.22 [7] => 16.41 [8] => 15.64 [9] => 16.95 )
Smiths Group Annual Data
Trend Jul14 Jul15 Jul16 Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20 Jul21 Jul22 Jul23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 12.92 14.22 16.41 15.64 16.95

Smiths Group Semi-Annual Data
Jul14 Jan15 Jul15 Jan16 Jul16 Jan17 Jul17 Jan18 Jul18 Jan19 Jul19 Jan20 Jul20 Jan21 Jul21 Jan22 Jul22 Jan23 Jul23 Jan24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 15.64 - 16.95 -

Competitive Comparison

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, Smiths Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Smiths Group Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Smiths Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Smiths Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Smiths Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Smiths Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $378.00.

Smiths Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jul23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*377.99971428571+3072.165*0.8)/354.682
=17.08

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Smiths Group  (OTCPK:SMGZY) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Smiths Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=19.88/17.075640103457
=1.16

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Smiths Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Smiths Group (Smiths Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
11-12 St James’s Square, 4th Floor, London, GBR, SW1Y 4LB
With its start as a London jeweler in the 19th century, Smiths Group has for most of its history operated as a company operating disparate but economically attractive businesses. Thematically, it runs businesses that manufacture niche products in security- or safety-sensitive industries. Today, the business is split across four divisions: mechanical seals, weapons detection, electrical connectors, and specialized hoses. The end customers for these products include airports, NASA, government security or defense departments, and hospitals.

Smiths Group (Smiths Group) Headlines