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Toyoda Gosei Co (Toyoda Gosei Co) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $48.26 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-23), Toyoda Gosei Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $48.26. The stock price of Toyoda Gosei Co is $35.20. Therefore, Toyoda Gosei Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.7.

The historical rank and industry rank for Toyoda Gosei Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

TGOSY' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.61   Med: 0.96   Max: 1.46
Current: 0.73

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Toyoda Gosei Co was 1.46. The lowest was 0.61. And the median was 0.96.

TGOSY's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
65.24% of 886 companies
in the Vehicles & Parts industry
Industry Median: 1.055 vs TGOSY: 0.73

Toyoda Gosei Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Toyoda Gosei Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Toyoda Gosei Co Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 37.74 44.64 47.51 67.03 44.87

Toyoda Gosei Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 48.86 44.87 47.58 43.19 57.90

Competitive Comparison

For the Auto Parts subindustry, Toyoda Gosei Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Toyoda Gosei Co Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Toyoda Gosei Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Toyoda Gosei Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Toyoda Gosei Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Toyoda Gosei Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $137.01.

Toyoda Gosei Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*137.01408+3415.717*0.8)/64.132
=62.95

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Toyoda Gosei Co  (OTCPK:TGOSY) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Toyoda Gosei Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=35.20/62.948228890377
=0.56

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Toyoda Gosei Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Toyoda Gosei Co (Toyoda Gosei Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1 Haruhinagahata, Aichi, Kiyosu, JPN, 452-8564
Toyoda Gosei Co Ltd is a manufacturer of resins and rubber parts for automobiles. The company's products fall in three categories: automotive parts, LEDs, and general industry products. The automotive parts segment, making up the lion's share of Toyoda Gosei's generated revenue, produces weather strips, fuel tank and engine peripheral parts, chassis and drivetrain parts, interior and exterior parts, and safety systems such as airbags. In its other business segments, the company produces LEDs for crystal displays, LED light solutions and glass-encapsulated LEDs, air conditioning products, home construction components, and industrial and construction machinery parts.

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