GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Defensive » Retail - Defensive » Tesco PLC (OTCPK:TSCDF) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
中文

Tesco (TSCDF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $3.45 (As of Today)
View and export this data going back to 2009. Start your Free Trial

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-23), Tesco's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $3.45. The stock price of Tesco is $3.57. Therefore, Tesco's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Tesco's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

TSCDF' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.99   Med: 1.66   Max: 2.99
Current: 1.03

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Tesco was 2.99. The lowest was 0.99. And the median was 1.66.

TSCDF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
60% of 225 companies
in the Retail - Defensive industry
Industry Median: 0.87 vs TSCDF: 1.03

Tesco Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Tesco's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Tesco Annual Data
Trend Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb21 Feb22 Feb23 Feb24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.01 1.46 3.31 2.89 3.56

Tesco Semi-Annual Data
Aug14 Feb15 Aug15 Feb16 Aug16 Feb17 Aug17 Feb18 Aug18 Feb19 Aug19 Feb20 Aug20 Feb21 Aug21 Feb22 Aug22 Feb23 Aug23 Feb24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.31 - 2.89 - 3.56

Competitive Comparison

For the Grocery Stores subindustry, Tesco's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tesco Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Tesco's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tesco's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Tesco Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Tesco's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $1,467.46.

Tesco's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Feb24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*1467.455+14736.111*0.8)/7176.000
=3.59

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Tesco  (OTCPK:TSCDF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Tesco's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=3.57/3.5896845528507
=0.99

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Tesco Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Tesco's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Tesco (TSCDF) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Kestrel Way, Tesco House, Shire Park, Welwyn Garden, GBR, AL7 1GA
Tesco is one of the largest food retailers in the world, operating thousands of stores in the United Kingdom, Ireland, and Europe. According to Kantar, Tesco is the market leader in the U.K. with a share of more than 27%, roughly double that of Asda or Sainsbury's. Tesco operates a core supermarket business in addition to convenience and neighborhood outlets. With a 35% digital market share in the U.K., the company holds a dominant position online. Tesco gained exposure to the cash-and-carry and out-of-home delivering industries with the landmark GBP 4 billion acquisition of Booker in 2018.

Tesco (TSCDF) Headlines

From GuruFocus

Stocks Near to Five-Year Low

By onlylf2 onlylf2 04-01-2014

Tesco Still Sells For Less Than What Buffett Paid

By Josh Zachariah Josh Zachariah 03-07-2012

Tesco PLC (TSCDY) Business and Value Analysis

By graemew graemew 04-10-2011

A Second Look at Tesco

By Josh Zachariah Josh Zachariah 09-28-2014

Examining Warren Buffett's Biggest Investing Mistakes

By Sheila Dang Sheila Dang 10-20-2014

What Special Forces Can Teach Us About Investing

By Joseph L Shaefer Joseph L Shaefer 03-19-2015

Don't Buy Tesco Until Management Reinstates Dividend

By Holmes Osborne, CFA Holmes Osborne, CFA 04-25-2016

Tesco, Aldi and What the Customer Says

By Josh Zachariah Josh Zachariah 04-03-2014

The Death of Retail: The Signs Are Out There

By Rupert Hargreaves Rupert Hargreaves 06-20-2017