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Perry Ellis International, Inc. (NAS:PERY)
Intrinsic Value (DCF Projected)
$34.78 (As of Today)

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value (DCF), or Discounted Earnings (DCE) Intrinsic Value (DE) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Discounted Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today, Perry Ellis International, Inc.'s DCF projected intrinsic value is $34.78. The stock price of Perry Ellis International, Inc. is $14.25. Therefore, Perry Ellis International, Inc.'s Price to Intrinsic Value (DCF Projected) Ratio of today is 0.4.

PERY' s 10-Year Price to Intrinsic Value (DCF Projected) Range
Min: 0.17   Max: 5.23
Current: 0.4

0.17
5.23

During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Intrinsic Value (DCF Projected) Ratio of Perry Ellis International, Inc. was 5.23. The lowest was 0.17. And the median was 0.64.

PERY's Price to Intrinsic Value (DCF Projected) is ranked higher than
92% of the 369 Companies
in the Global Apparel Manufacturing industry.

( Industry Median: 1.20 vs. PERY: 0.40 )

Definition

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value (DCF), or Discounted Earnings (DCE) Intrinsic Value (DE) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Discounted Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of total equity.

Value = ((Growth Multiple)*Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) + 0.8*Total Equity(most recent))/Shares Outstanding

In the case of negative total equity, the following formula is used (see the Total Equity section for the reason):

Value = ((Growth Multiple)*Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) + Total Equity(most recent)/0.8)/Shares Outstanding


Here Perry Ellis International, Inc.'s FCF(6 year avg) is calculate as

Perry Ellis International, Inc. Quarterly Data

201110201201201204201207201210201301201304201307201310201401
total_freecashflow -37.016.1-1.776.8-28.313.3-21.420.9-24.42.9
200904200907200910201001201004201007201010201101201104201107
total_freecashflow 16.460.4-4.914.09.334.8-24.9-4.5-36.844.7
200804200807200810200901
total_freecashflow -33.144.5-27.40.5

Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Perry Ellis International, Inc.'s FCF(6 year avg) = $18.41.

Perry Ellis International, Inc.'s DCF Projected Intrinsic Value for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow(6 year avg)+Total Equity(Jan14)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding
=(9.52035159596*18.4053333333+347.533*0.8)/14.826
=30.57

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.


Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy medium after taking the above ideas into consideration. Learn more here.

Perry Ellis International, Inc.'s Price to DCF Projected Intrinsic Value Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to DCF Projected Intrinsic Value=Share Price/DCF Projected Intrinsic Value
=14.25/30.5714045983
=0.47

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.


Related Terms

Intrinsic Value (DE), Intrinsic Value (DCF), Free Cash Flow


Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

Perry Ellis International, Inc. Annual Data

Jan05Jan06Jan07Jan08Jan09Jan10Jan11Jan12Jan13Jan14
iv_dcf_share 7.2616.3510.9521.1222.7436.4636.6029.2340.290.00

Perry Ellis International, Inc. Quarterly Data

Oct11Jan12Apr12Jul12Oct12Jan13Apr13Jul13Oct13Jan14
iv_dcf_share 30.2329.2331.6334.2133.4140.2939.1534.6234.780.00
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