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Pioneer Natural Resources Co (Pioneer Natural Resources Co) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $195.51 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-23), Pioneer Natural Resources Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $195.51. The stock price of Pioneer Natural Resources Co is $275.23. Therefore, Pioneer Natural Resources Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for Pioneer Natural Resources Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

PXD' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.15   Med: 7.24   Max: 23.48
Current: 1.41

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Pioneer Natural Resources Co was 23.48. The lowest was 1.15. And the median was 7.24.

PXD's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
72.86% of 678 companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 0.85 vs PXD: 1.41

Pioneer Natural Resources Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Pioneer Natural Resources Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Pioneer Natural Resources Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 21.25 33.55 94.09 172.25 195.51

Pioneer Natural Resources Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 172.25 183.83 184.13 191.18 195.51

Competitive Comparison

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Pioneer Natural Resources Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Pioneer Natural Resources Co Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Pioneer Natural Resources Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Pioneer Natural Resources Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Pioneer Natural Resources Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Pioneer Natural Resources Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $2,345.76.

Pioneer Natural Resources Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(12.267806016876*2345.76+23171*0.8)/242.000
=195.51

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Pioneer Natural Resources Co  (NYSE:PXD) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Pioneer Natural Resources Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=275.23/195.51292827333
=1.41

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Pioneer Natural Resources Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Pioneer Natural Resources Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Pioneer Natural Resources Co (Pioneer Natural Resources Co) Business Description

Address
777 Hidden Ridge, Irving, TX, USA, 75038
Headquartered in Irving, Texas, Pioneer Natural Resources is an independent oil and gas exploration and production company focusing on the Permian Basin in Texas. At year-end 2022, Pioneer's proven reserves were 2.4 billion barrels of oil equivalent with net production for the year of 650 mboe per day. Oil and natural gas liquids represented 79% of production.
Executives
Mark H Kleinman officer: EVP & General Counsel 777 HIDDEN RIDGE, IRVING TX 75038
Maria S. Dreyfus director 125 WEST 55TH STREET, 15TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Bonnie S. Black officer: SVP, Technology & Ops Support 777 HIDDEN RIDGE, IRVING TX 75038
Jacinto J Hernandez director 777 HIDDEN RIDGE, IRVING TX 75038
Christopher L Washburn officer: Interim CAO 777 HIDDEN RIDGE, IRVING TX 75038
Mark Stephen Berg officer: EVP, GEN. COUNSEL & SECTY 777 HIDDEN RIDGE, IRVING TX 75038
Tyson L. Taylor officer: SVP, Human Resources 5205 N O'CONNOR BLVD., SUITE 200, IRVING TX 75039
Phoebe A Wood director PO BOX 1080, LOUISVILLE KY 40201
Stacy P. Methvin director 777 HIDDEN RIDGE, IRVING TX 75038
Lori George Billingsley director 777 HIDDEN RIDGE, IRVING TX 75038
Royce Mitchell director 777 HIDDEN RIDGE, IRVING TX 75038
Hall Jerome D Jr officer: EVP, Operations 777 HIDDEN RIDGE, IRVING TX 75038
Frank A Risch director PIONEER NATURAL RESOURCES COMPANY, 5205 N. O'CONNOR BLVD, STE 900, IRVING TX 75039
Chris J Cheatwood officer: EXEC VP WORLDWIDE EXPLORATION 777 HIDDEN RIDGE, IRVING TX 75038
Neal H Shah officer: SVP and CFO 777 HIDDEN RIDGE, IRVING TX 75038