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Regis (RGS) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $-261.24 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-19), Regis's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-261.24. The stock price of Regis is $5.413. Therefore, Regis's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Regis's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Regis was 2.13. The lowest was 0.55. And the median was 0.74.

RGS's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Personal Services industry.
Industry Median: 0.9
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Regis Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Regis's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Regis Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 174.11 -9.30 -203.37 -231.77 -256.99

Regis Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -242.09 -247.99 -256.99 -255.90 -261.24

Competitive Comparison

For the Personal Services subindustry, Regis's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Regis Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Personal Services industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Regis's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Regis's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Regis Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Regis's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-59.83.

Regis's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)/0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-59.82784+-33.59/0.8)/2.341
=-261.24

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Regis  (NAS:RGS) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Regis's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=5.413/-261.24287570574
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Regis Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Regis's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Regis (RGS) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
3701 Wayzata Boulevard, Suite 500, Minneapolis, MN, USA, 55416
Regis Corp owns, franchises, and operates beauty salons throughout North America and the United Kingdom. The company's locations provide salon products and services to the mass market, including haircutting, styling, and hair coloring. The vast majority of Regis' salons are in strip malls, shopping centers, and Wal-Mart stores in North America and serve price-conscious customers. The company derives the majority of its revenue from these locations. The sale of products also contributes a relatively significant percentage of total sales. Regis also operates a smaller portfolio of premium salons across North America and the U.K. The company's majority brands include SmartStyle, Cost Cutters, and Supercuts.
Executives
Nancy Cunningham Benacci director PO BOX 145496, CINCINNATI OH 45250
Devore Michelle St. Lawrence officer: SVP, Marketing 6119 BRANDEIS LANE, DALLAS TX 75214
Andra Jean Terrell officer: SVP, General Counsel 4922 MARLOS DRIVE NE, MARIETTA GA 30066
James Raymon Suarez officer: SVP Merchandising & Education 9043 VICTORIA DRIVE, EDEN PRAIRIE MN 55347
Michael Joseph Mansbach director 4051 BROAD STREET, SUITE 220, SAN LUIS OBISPO CA 93401
Lockie Andrews director 3701 WAYZATA BLVD, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55416
John C. Davi officer: EVP, Chief Technology Officer 3701 WAYZATA BLVD, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55416
Springhill Investments Llc 10 percent owner ONE TOWNE SQUARE, SUITE 1600, SOUTHFIELD MI 48076
James Grosfeld 10 percent owner C/O MERRILL LYNCH ASSET MANAGEMENT, 800 SCUDDERS MILL RD LEGAL ADVISORY 2-B, PLAINSBORO NJ 08536
James Grosfeld Trust 10 percent owner ONE TOWNE SQUARE, SUITE 1600, SOUTHFIELD MI 48076
New Walnut Gp Llc 10 percent owner 655 MADISON AVENUE, 11TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10065
Torch Brc, Lp 10 percent owner 405 LEXINGTON AVENUE, SUITE 839, SUITE 2215, NEW YORK NY 10174
Walnut Brc, L.p. 10 percent owner 655 MADISON AVENUE, 11TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10065
Jim Brian Lain officer: EVP & Chief Operating Officer 7201 METRO BOULEVARD, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55439
Michael Heath Ferranti officer: SVP, People and Culture 16011 RANCHITA DRIVE, DALLAS TX 75252