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Sirius XM Holdings (Sirius XM Holdings) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $4.08 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is Sirius XM Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-25), Sirius XM Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $4.08. The stock price of Sirius XM Holdings is $3.16. Therefore, Sirius XM Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.8.

The historical rank and industry rank for Sirius XM Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

SIRI' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.77   Med: 1.57   Max: 2.99
Current: 0.77

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Sirius XM Holdings was 2.99. The lowest was 0.77. And the median was 1.57.

SIRI's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
56.79% of 604 companies
in the Media - Diversified industry
Industry Median: 0.885 vs SIRI: 0.77

Sirius XM Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Sirius XM Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Sirius XM Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Sirius XM Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.41 4.32 4.64 4.44 4.08

Sirius XM Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.44 4.19 4.24 4.14 4.08

Competitive Comparison of Sirius XM Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Entertainment subindustry, Sirius XM Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Sirius XM Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Media - Diversified Industry

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, Sirius XM Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Sirius XM Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Sirius XM Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Sirius XM Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $1,546.87.

Sirius XM Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)/0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(12.352161231452*1546.87248+-2565/0.8)/3900.000
=4.08

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Sirius XM Holdings  (NAS:SIRI) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Sirius XM Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=3.16/4.077171353194
=0.78

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Sirius XM Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Sirius XM Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Sirius XM Holdings (Sirius XM Holdings) Business Description

Address
1221 Avenue of the Americas, 35th Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10020
Sirius XM Holdings is composed of two businesses: SiriusXM and Pandora. SiriusXM transmits music, talk shows, sports, and news via its two satellite radio networks, primarily to consumers in vehicles who pay a subscription fee. The firm's radios come preinstalled on a wide range of light vehicles in the U.S. and Canada. The firm acquired Pandora Media in February 2019 via an all-stock transaction. Pandora is a streaming music platform that offers an ad-supported radio option and a paid on-demand service as well as a robust and growing podcast library. Liberty Media owns 81% of Sirius XM, traded through its Liberty Sirius XM Group tracking stock.
Executives
Joseph A Inzerillo officer: Chief Product & Tech. Officer 173 WATER STREET, BROOKLYN NY 11201
David Adam Blau director 12300 LIBERTY BOULEVARD, ENGLEWOOD CO 80112-7009
Sean S Sullivan officer: EVP and CFO 11 PENN PLAZA, NEW YORK NY 10001
Jonelle Procope director 1221 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 35TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10020
Stephen Cook officer: EVP, Sales and Automotive
Kristina Salen director 1601 CLOVERFIELD BLVD., SUITE 620, SANTA MONICA CA 90404
Dara F Altman officer: EVP & Chief Admin. Officer SIRIUS XM RADIO INC., 1221 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10020
Joan Lordi Amble director AMERICAN EXPRESS COMPANY, 200 VESEY STREET, NEW YORK NY 10285
Carl E Vogel director C/O SIRIUS XM RADIO INC., 1221 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10020
James E Meyer officer: President, Sales & Operations 6922 HOLLYWOOD BLVD., 12TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90028
Vanessa Ames Wittman director C/O MARSH & MCLENNAN COMPANIES, INC., 1166 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10036
Scott Andrew Greenstein officer: Pres., Entertainment & Sports SIRIUS XM RADIO INC., 1221 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 36TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10020
James Mooney director 1221 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10020
David J Frear officer: EVP and CFO 1221 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10020
James Arthur Cady officer: EVP, Product and Operations 1221 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10020